Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife Prediction - 3 October 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
76%Odds 1.28
Picked at 1.28 · now 1.31
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Fortaleza EC are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Under 3.5 goals is Superior's selection for Fortaleza vs Nautico on the night of 2 October, and the price is 1.28. The model rates it at 76 percent, since the two sides' recent scoring adds up to three goals a game between them and Fortaleza have let in more than one only once in five.
Fortaleza average 1.4 goals a game and Nautico 1.6
Add the two scoring averages from the last five and you reach 3.0 goals, still half a goal under the line before either defence is counted. Fortaleza's defending is the tighter piece: 1-0 wins over Avai and at Goias, a 1-1 with Ceara, and only the 2-2 with Athletic Club went above two goals. The model turns each side's scoring and conceding into an expected rate and spreads it across every score, which puts the correct score at 1-0 with 1-1 next. The only recent meeting, in Recife in June, finished 1-0 to Fortaleza.
Nautico drew 3-3 with Operario
Nautico can open a game up at both ends: their last five include that 3-3 with Operario and a 3-1 win over Sport Recife. If they bring that version to Fortaleza, a 2-2 or a 3-1 either way beats the bet, because the line loses on the fourth goal. A 2-1 or a 3-0 still pays.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-0
Today's acca
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More Serie B predictions
Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 June 2026 | Nautico Recife | 0 - 1 | Fortaleza EC |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +12 | 54 | ||
| 2 | 30 | +13 | 53 | ||
| 3 | 31 | +22 | 52 | ||
| 4 | 30 | +9 | 52 | ||
| 5 | 30 | +4 | 50 | ||
| 6 | 30 | +10 | 49 | ||
| 7 | 30 | +4 | 48 | ||
| 8 | 30 | +5 | 48 | ||
| 9 | 31 | +8 | 45 | ||
| 10 | 31 | -6 | 43 | ||
| 11 | 30 | +5 | 43 | ||
| 12 | 31 | +3 | 43 | ||
| 13 | 30 | +9 | 42 | ||
| 14 | 30 | +1 | 41 | ||
| 15 | 30 | -6 | 36 | ||
| 16 | 30 | -2 | 35 | ||
| 17 | 30 | -11 | 30 | ||
| 18 | 30 | -4 | 28 | ||
| 19 | 30 | -29 | 17 | ||
| 20 | 30 | -47 | 13 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 54 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 53 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 52 | WLLLW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 52 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 50 | DWWWW |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 49 | WWDWL |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 48 | WWWDL |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 48 | LWDWW |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 43 | LDWDW |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 43 | DWDDL |
| 13 | São Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 | LLDDL |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 | LWDDW |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 13 | DLLLL |