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Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC Prediction - 14 October 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueWorldFull time
Shakhtar Donetsk
3-1
AEK Athens FC
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

77%Odds 1.28Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Shakhtar Donetsk · last 5 games

Form

Shakhtar Donetsk
  1. W 3-0
  2. W 3-0
  3. W 3-0
  4. W 3-0
  5. W 2-0
AEK Athens FC
  1. W 3-0
  2. W 2-1
  3. W 8-1
  4. D 1-1
  5. W 1-0

Head to head

  1. 13 Jul 2023 AEK Athens FC 5 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 Friendlies Clubs

Bookmaker odds

Home2.70price falling, opened at 2.71
Draw3.36price falling, opened at 3.44
Away2.60price rising, opened at 2.54
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.24price rising, opened at 1.23
Under 1.53.56price falling, opened at 3.64
Over 2.51.88price rising, opened at 1.84
Under 2.51.92price falling, opened at 1.96
Over 3.53.08price rising, opened at 2.98
Under 3.51.31price falling, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes1.66price rising, opened at 1.63
No2.12price falling, opened at 2.17
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +01.93price falling, opened at 1.97
Away +01.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Methodology

Match analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk won 3-0 in four of their last five games and 2-0 in the other, so their own goals have cleared two in every match since mid-September. That run, plus an AEK Athens attack averaging 3.0 a game, is why Superior takes Over 1.5 goals in this Champions League meeting.

Four 3-0 wins and a 2-0 since 14 September

The run covers Chornomorets, Vilkhivtsi, LNZ Cherkasy, Hirnyk and a 3-0 win at Veres Rivne on 9 October, and nobody scored against Shakhtar in any of it. Five clean sheets in a row is the one fact that pulls against the pick, because it means AEK may contribute nothing. Shakhtar have answered that themselves each time. AEK come in with an 8-1 over Panserraikos and a 3-0 over OFI Crete among four wins in five, and the only game in their run that stayed under two goals was the 1-0 against Lask Linz. Two attacks scoring close to three a game meet here, and the five-game Shakhtar run has not yet produced a match short of two goals.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Away Goals: Over 0.5Won1.26
  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.28
  • Home Goals: Over 0.5Won1.28
  • Double Chance: Home/DrawWon1.51
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost5.85
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.3%Our score
  2. 2-18.8%Alternative
  3. 1-08.7%
  4. 1-28.2%
  5. 0-17.9%

Top five combined: 44.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeShakhtar DonetskxG1.37
AwayAEK Athens FCxG1.34
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.1%
8.7%
6.3%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
7.9%
11%
8.8%
4.3%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
2
5.4%
8.2%
5.6%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
2.6%
3.5%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 56.2%43.8% No
Over 1.5 77.3%22.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.2%45.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.3%68.7% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Shakhtar Donetsk win and over 2.5 goals25.7%
  2. AEK Athens FC win and over 2.5 goals21.5%
  3. Shakhtar Donetsk win and both teams score20.2%
  4. Draw and under 2.5 goals17.4%
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC
Outcome markets
Win or draw65.1%59.3%
Draw no bet53.9%46.1%
Win to nil20.5%17.2%
Either team wins75.6%
Team goals
To score76.7%73.4%
Over 1.5 goals43.5%38.9%
Clean sheet26.6%23.3%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC