Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

Our pick:Home under 2.5 goals

80%Odds 1.19Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-3

4/5 Scored under 2.5 Newcastle Jets · last 5 games

Form

Newcastle Jets

L 1-7
L 2-3
D 1-1
W 4-0
D 2-2

Gamba Osaka

L 0-2
D 3-3
W 5-0
L 0-1
W 4-1

Bookmaker odds

Home4.60

Draw4.04

Away1.70

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.15

Under 1.55.45

Over 2.51.50

Under 2.52.61

Over 3.52.13

Under 3.51.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.52

No2.53

Odd/Even

Odd1.96

Even1.84

Handicap

Home +0.752.03

Away -0.751.78

Methodology

Match analysis

Newcastle Jets under 2.5 team goals is Superior's bet against Gamba Osaka, and the Jets' calendar carries most of it. They have played twice since May, losing 3-2 at Preston Lions in July and 7-1 at Kashima on 15 September, so three goals of their own against Gamba would break sharply with everything they have shown lately.

Two matches since May, ten goals conceded

The A-League break shows in the log. Newcastle's last game before the summer was a 1-1 at Sydney on 9 May, and the only outings since were the cup tie at Preston Lions and the trip to Kashima, where the Jets managed one goal. Gamba have been far busier, scoring 2.4 a game, with a 5-0 over Tokushima Vortis and a 4-1 against Cong An Nhan Dan in their last five.

The 4-0 over Central Coast Mariners is the outlier

The Jets did score four at home against Central Coast on 25 April, the one result in their last five that clears the line. It came more than five months before this game, and the Jets scored one or two in each of the other four.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Home Goals: Under 2.5Won1.19
Home Goals: Over 0.5Won1.21
Double Chance: Draw/AwayWon1.36

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-19.4%Our score
1-29.7%
0-17.3%
2-17.1%
0-25.9%

Top five combined: 39.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNewcastle JetsxG1.50

AwayGamba OsakaxG1.81

3.7%

5.3%

3.8%

2.2%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

7.3%

9.4%

7.1%

3.4%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

5.9%

9.7%

5.8%

3.0%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

4.1%

5.3%

4.0%

1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

1.9%

2.4%

1.6%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.1%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 62.7%37.3% No

Over 1.5 83.6%16.4% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 64.4%35.6% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 41.3%58.7% Under 3.5

Combos

Gamba Osaka win and over 2.5 goals34.4%
Newcastle Jets win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
Newcastle Jets win and both teams score18.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.2%

Outcome markets
	Newcastle Jets	Gamba Osaka
Win or draw	52.3%	68.7%
Draw no bet	39.6%	60.4%
Win to nil	12.8%	20.8%
Either team wins	79.0%
Team goals
To score	75.5%	83.4%
Over 1.5 goals	41.8%	54.2%
Clean sheet	16.6%	24.5%