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Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction - 12 October 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Chapecoense-sc
1-4
Atletico Paranaense
Top pick 3

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

74%Odds 1.32Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Chapecoense-sc · last 5 games

Form

Chapecoense-sc
  1. L 0-4
  2. D 1-1
  3. D 1-1
  4. L 1-2
  5. W 2-1
Atletico Paranaense
  1. D 2-2
  2. W 2-1
  3. D 3-3
  4. L 1-3
  5. D 3-3

Head to head

  1. 12 Apr 2026 Atletico Paranaense 2 Chapecoense-sc 0 Serie A
  2. 17 Sept 2025 Chapecoense-sc 2 Atletico Paranaense 3 Serie B
  3. 9 May 2025 Atletico Paranaense 1 Chapecoense-sc 1 Serie B

Bookmaker odds

Home3.82price rising, opened at 3.50
Draw3.62price rising, opened at 3.44
Away1.94price falling, opened at 2.09
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21price falling, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.58price rising, opened at 3.20
Over 2.51.81price falling, opened at 1.94
Under 2.52.00price rising, opened at 1.86
Over 3.52.83price falling, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.66price falling, opened at 1.73
No2.09price rising, opened at 2.00
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +0.252.10price rising, opened at 1.94
Away -0.251.61price falling, opened at 1.72
Methodology

Match analysis

Atletico Paranaense's last five games all had three goals or more, two of them 3-3 draws, and they score 2.4 a game. Chapecoense are fighting at the bottom and have conceded in all of their last five, so Superior backs Over 1.5 goals, a 74% chance priced 1.32.

Two 3-3 draws in three weeks

Atletico Paranaense drew 3-3 at Coritiba on 12 September and 3-3 with Fluminense on 30 August, won 3-2 at Botafogo and 2-1 against Bahia, and lost 1-3 at Cruzeiro.

Where Chapecoense's own goals come from

Chapecoense lost 0-4 at Vitoria on 7 October and 1-2 at home to Internacional, and score 1.0 goal a game. Their 2-1 win at Corinthians and a 1-1 at Atletico-MG show they usually find one, though they have not kept a clean sheet in that run.

Three meetings since May 2025

The meetings went 0-2, 2-3 and 1-1 from Chapecoense's side, all of them two goals or more. 1-1 is the forecast correct score here, a 1-2 Atletico win the next most likely.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.32
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.1%Our score
  2. 0-19.2%
  3. 1-29.1%Alternative
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 2-18.1%

Top five combined: 46.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeChapecoense-scxG1.21
AwayAtletico ParanaensexG1.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.4%
8.4%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.2%
12%
8.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
6.7%
9.1%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.5%
4.2%
2.7%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.3%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 55.4%44.6% No
Over 1.5 76.0%24.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.9%48.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.0%71.0% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Atletico Paranaense win and over 2.5 goals25.2%
  2. Chapecoense-sc win and over 2.5 goals19.6%
  3. Draw and under 2.5 goals18.5%
  4. Chapecoense-sc win and both teams score16.3%
Chapecoense-scAtletico Paranaense
Outcome markets
Win or draw58.9%66.7%
Draw no bet44.7%55.3%
Win to nil17.0%21.2%
Either team wins74.4%
Team goals
To score72.4%76.6%
Over 1.5 goals36.6%42.8%
Clean sheet23.4%27.6%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65
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League table

League table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13019745825+3364
23018935222+3063
33015874935+1453
43014974837+1151
530131074436+849
630146104644+248
73013894135+647
830119104645+142
930117123835+340
1030116133535039
1130109113848-1039
1230106143344-1136
133099124348-536
142998123642-635
1531810133444-1034
1631712123338-533
173088143138-732
1830710133240-831
1930510153348-1525
202939173061-3118
Relegation
Serie A - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Flamengo30197458253364DDWWL
2Palmeiras30189352223063WLWWW
3Atletico Paranaense30158749351453DWWWW
4Fluminense30149748371151DDDDL
5Bahia30131074436849DDDWW
6Cruzeiro FC30146104644248
7Atletico-MG3013894135647WDWLW
8Santos30119104645142DLWLL
9RB Bragantino30117123835340DDWWW
10Sao Paulo30116133535039DLLDL
11Coritiba30109113848-1039LDLLW
12Vitoria30106143344-1136LLDWL
13Botafogo3099124348-536WDWLD
14Vasco DA Gama2998123642-635DLLLL
15Mirassol31810133444-1034WDWLW
16Internacional31712123338-533DLLLL
17Corinthians3088143138-732DDWWW
18Gremio30710133240-831DLLWD
19Remo30510153348-1525LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2939173061-3118