Standard Liege vs Charleroi Prediction - 11 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
78%Odds 1.29Lost
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
Form
- L 1-2
- L 2-4
- W 1-0
- W 2-1
- W 2-0
- W 3-2
- W 1-0
- L 2-3
- W 3-1
- W 2-0
Head to head
- 23 May 2026 Standard Liege 0 Charleroi 2 Jupiler Pro League
- 18 Apr 2026 Charleroi 1 Standard Liege 2 Jupiler Pro League
- 18 Jan 2026 Charleroi 2 Standard Liege 0 Jupiler Pro League
Match analysis
Four of the last five Standard Liege vs Charleroi meetings produced two goals or more, and only Charleroi's 1-0 win in May 2025 fell short. On 11 October, Superior is backing Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, a pick its model puts at 78%, with 1-1 as the correct score.
Charleroi have scored in all of their last five
Charleroi average 2.2 goals a game, with a 3-2 win over Cercle Brugge and a 3-1 win at Kortrijk. Standard score 1.6 a game and lost 2-4 at Westerlo in September. The model sets each side's expected scoring rate from scoring and conceding strength and prices the score grid from there. Charleroi's rate comes out slightly higher, which is why 1-2 is the alternative to the 1-1.
Standard beat Antwerp 1-0 and lost 0-1 to Charleroi at home
A 0-0 or 1-0 either way loses this pick. Standard's 1-0 over Antwerp on 5 September is that result, and the May 2025 meeting went 0-1 at Standard. Charleroi's 1-0 win at Zulte Waregem is a third example from these two sides' recent games.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.1%Our score
- 0-19.8%
- 1-09.1%
- 1-28.5%Alternative
- 2-18.1%
Top five combined: 48.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Charleroi win and over 2.5 goals22.6%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals20.9%
- Standard Liege win and over 2.5 goals18.8%
- Standard Liege win and both teams score15.6%
| Standard Liege | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 61.2% | 66.5% |
| Draw no bet | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Win to nil | 17.9% | 20.9% |
| Either team wins | 72.4% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 71.3% | 74.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 35.0% | 39.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.8% | 28.7% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.65
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 7 | +18 | 19 | |
| 3 | 7 | +13 | 18 | |
| 4 | 7 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 16 | |
| 6 | 8 | +4 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | -6 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 15 | 8 | -10 | 4 | |
| 16 | 8 | -16 | 3 | |
| 17 | 8 | -7 | 3 | |
| 18 | 7 | -9 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 22 | |
| 2 | Union St. Gilloise | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 19 | |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 | |
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 | |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| 6 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 12 | |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 | |
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | Waasland-Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 | |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | Antwerp | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 14 | OH Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | |
| 15 | RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 | |
| 16 | Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 | |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 | |
| 18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |