Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg Prediction - 10 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
84%Odds 1.20
Correct score1-1Alternative3-2
Form
- W 1-0
- L 0-7
- L 1-3
- L 0-4
- D 3-3
- D 0-0
- L 1-2
- W 4-3
- W 3-2
- W 3-1
Match analysis
Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg on 10 October carries Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.20. Elversberg have scored in four of their last five and Union conceded 17 times in the four games before their 1-0 win in Rijeka, so the model gives two or more goals an 84 percent chance.
Union's attack, rated 6.7, meets an Elversberg defence rated 6.4
Superior turns each side's scoring and conceding into an expected goals figure, then spreads those two figures across every plausible scoreline. Both stay healthy here. Union's attack outrates the Elversberg defence, and Elversberg's attack, rated 6.3, faces a back line that shipped seven at Bayern and four at Leverkusen. The correct score forecast is 1-1, with 3-2 as the alternative.
Elversberg won 4-3 at Gladbach and 3-2 against Leverkusen
Elversberg score 2.2 goals a game against Union's 1.0, and four of their last five went past one goal, including the 4-3 at Borussia Mönchengladbach on 5 September. Union's 3-3 with Eintracht Frankfurt on 29 August shows their games can open up at home too.
Elversberg drew 0-0 at Schalke on 20 September
That goalless draw is the shape that beats this pick, and Union's 1-0 in Rijeka on 26 September is the other. Union scored once or not at all in four of their last five, so if their attack stalls again and Elversberg take a single goal, a 0-1 finish loses the bet.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Today's acca
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League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +7 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | +12 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | +9 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | +4 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | +6 | 6 | |
| 8 | 3 | +1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 10 | 3 | +3 | 4 | |
| 11 | 3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 12 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 13 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 15 | 4 | -11 | 3 | |
| 16 | 3 | -4 | 1 | |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | 1 | |
| 18 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | |
| 2 | Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | |
| 10 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |