Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction - 10 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
81%Odds 1.22
Correct score1-1Alternative3-2
Form
- W 3-1
- W 3-2
- W 3-1
- L 1-2
- W 3-2
- W 3-0
- W 2-1
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 1 Feb 2026 Aston Villa 0 Brentford 1 Premier League
- 23 Aug 2025 Brentford 1 Aston Villa 0 Premier League
Match analysis
Aston Villa's attack carries a 6.9 rating into Aston Villa vs Brentford on 10 October, the highest in the fixture, against a Brentford defence rated 6.4. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, and the model puts it at 81 percent, with Villa having scored three in four of their last five.
Every Villa game in their last five had three goals or more
The run goes from a 3-1 in Sevilla on 2 October back through 3-2 at Tottenham and 3-2 at Club Brugge. Brentford add 1.8 goals a game of their own and beat Chelsea 3-0 on 18 September. With both scoring rates that high, Superior's score distribution puts most of its weight on two goals or more; 1-1 is the single likeliest correct score and 3-2 the alternative.
Brentford won both recent meetings 1-0
Brentford beat Villa 1-0 at home in August 2025 and 1-0 away at Villa in February. A third game of that shape is what beats this pick, and Villa's 1-2 home defeat to Nottingham Forest on 12 September is the one time in five their attack was held to a single goal.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Today's acca
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League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +6 | 12 | |
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | +11 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 4 | +4 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 5 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 4 | -5 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 | 5 | -6 | 2 | |
| 20 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | |
| 5 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| 6 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | |
| 7 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 8 | Newcastle United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | |
| 20 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |