Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W Prediction - 1 October 2026
Match highlights
VIPForm
- W 1-0
- D 2-2
- W 4-2
- W 4-1
- W 3-1
- W 5-3
- D 1-1
- W 3-1
- W 2-0
- D 0-0
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 19.2Total shots16.7
- 6.6Shots on target6.5
- 8.2Corner kicks7.6
- 0.6Cards1.5
Against
- 9.8Total shots9.4
- 3.2Shots on target3.8
- 2.2Corner kicks2.8
- 1.0Cards1.6
Match analysis
Manchester City Women average 2.8 goals a game and Real Madrid Women 2.2, a sum well above this line, yet Superior's pick for Manchester City Women vs Real Madrid Women on 1 October is Under 3.5 goals at 1.46. The model gives it a 66% chance, and its likeliest score, a 2-1 City win, stays under.
Real Madrid Women allowed one goal or none in four of their last five
Superior prices every score from the two sides' expected goals, and market prices can move those rates, which is why the grid settles on 2-1 and 1-1 even with both averages high. Real's defensive run backs that: 0-0 with Eibar, 2-0 at Deportivo de La Coruna, 3-1 over Valencia and 1-1 with PSG on 22 September. Only the 5-3 at Real Sociedad on 26 September broke the pattern.
Four of City's last five games went to four goals or more
Under 3.5 loses at four goals, and City's recent games keep getting there: 4-2 over Liverpool, 4-1 at Aston Villa, 3-1 over Birmingham City and 2-2 in Munich against Bayern. A City side that scores three at home needs Real to add only one for the bet to lose. The 1-0 at Charlton on 26 September is the only recent City game that stayed tight.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66LostFrom our blog
More UEFA Champions League Women predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 53%Ball possession47%
- 3Big chances0
- 16Total shots16
- 4Goalkeeper saves1
- 5Corner kicks7
- 8Fouls10
- 493Passes453
Shots
- 2Shots on target5
- 7Shots off target7
- 7Blocked shots4
- 14Shots inside box8
- 2Shots outside box7
Attack
- 88Attacks93
- 11Key passes10
- 4/10 (40%)Dribbles8/13 (62%)
- 0Offsides3
Passes
- 439/493 (89%)Accurate passes395/453 (87%)
- 17/27 (63%)Long balls21/41 (51%)
- 8/27 (30%)Crosses1/16 (6%)
- 114Final third entries67
Defending
- 11/20 (55%)Tackles won7/12 (58%)
- 9Interceptions3
- 16Clearances28
- 6/7 (86%)Aerial duels1/7 (14%)
Other
- 10Free kicks8
- 8Throw-ins19
- 9Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 2-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-19.4%Our score
- 1-19.0%Alternative
- 1-08.0%
- 2-07.2%
- 1-27.0%
Top five combined: 40.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Manchester City W win and over 2.5 goals36.8%
- Manchester City W win and both teams score27.9%
- Real Madrid W win and over 2.5 goals19.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals12.8%
| Manchester City W | Real Madrid W | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 71.6% | 48.0% |
| Draw no bet | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| Win to nil | 24.2% | 12.5% |
| Either team wins | 80.4% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 83.6% | 72.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55.5% | 37.2% |
| Clean sheet | 28.0% | 16.4% |