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Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W Prediction - 1 October 2026

UEFA Champions League WomenWorld
Manchester City W
vs
Real Madrid W

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

66%Odds 1.46

Correct score2-1Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.62
Draw3.90
Away4.63
All oddsPremium

What is the prediction for Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?

Our correct score is 2-1, then 1-1. Manchester City W are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Manchester City Women average 2.8 goals a game and Real Madrid Women 2.2, a sum well above this line, yet Superior's pick for Manchester City Women vs Real Madrid Women on 1 October is Under 3.5 goals at 1.46. The model gives it a 66% chance, and its likeliest score, a 2-1 City win, stays under.

Real Madrid Women allowed one goal or none in four of their last five

Superior prices every score from the two sides' expected goals, and market prices can move those rates, which is why the grid settles on 2-1 and 1-1 even with both averages high. Real's defensive run backs that: 0-0 with Eibar, 2-0 at Deportivo de La Coruna, 3-1 over Valencia and 1-1 with PSG on 22 September. Only the 5-3 at Real Sociedad on 26 September broke the pattern.

Four of City's last five games went to four goals or more

Under 3.5 loses at four goals, and City's recent games keep getting there: 4-2 over Liverpool, 4-1 at Aston Villa, 3-1 over Birmingham City and 2-2 in Munich against Bayern. A City side that scores three at home needs Real to add only one for the bet to lose. The 1-0 at Charlton on 26 September is the only recent City game that stayed tight.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-17.00
  • Correct score: 2-17.50
Compare bookmakers

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Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.66

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W