Atletico Nacional vs Junior Prediction - 1 October 2026
Match highlights
VIPForm
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- L 0-2
- W 3-2
- W 2-0
- W 2-0
- W 4-1
- L 0-1
- D 3-3
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 8 Jun 2026 Atletico Nacional 1 Junior 0 Primera A
- 3 Jun 2026 Junior 3 Atletico Nacional 0 Primera A
- 11 Mar 2026 Junior 0 Atletico Nacional 4 Primera A
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 17.3Total shots16.3
- 6.8Shots on target5.7
- 7.1Corner kicks4.0
- 2.4Cards3.0
Against
- 8.3Total shots12.0
- 3.8Shots on target4.3
- 2.8Corner kicks4.1
- 2.6Cards4.0
Match analysis
Atletico Nacional to beat Junior is Superior's pick for 1 October, priced at 1.54 with a 63% chance. In Atletico Nacional vs Junior the home side's expected scoring sits well clear of the visitors', and Junior turn around quickly after beating Independiente Medellin 2-0 on 27 September.
Junior come in on short rest after their 2-0 over Medellin
Junior's last game was that 2-0 home win over Medellin, so they come into this on the shorter turnaround while Nacional had a longer break. Superior sets each side's expected scoring from measured scoring and conceding, and at home Nacional's rate comes out well ahead of Junior's, which puts the grid's weight on 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0. Nacional's home results fit: 2-0 over Rionegro Aguilas on 13 September, and 1-0 over Junior in the last meeting on 8 June.
Junior average 2.0 goals a game and beat Nacional 3-0 in June
The home win loses to a draw or a Junior win, and Junior carry goals into this game: 4-1 at Fortaleza on 20 September, 3-3 with Jaguares and that 2-0 over Medellin. They also beat Nacional 3-0 at home on 3 June, five days before Nacional's 1-0 reply. The last time the sides met at Nacional before that, in November 2025, it ended 1-1, and a repeat of that score loses the bet too.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66LostFrom our blog
Match stats
Match overview
- 58%Ball possession42%
- 1.83Expected goals (xG)1.12
- 5Big chances2
- 19Total shots9
- 1Goalkeeper saves3
- 7Corner kicks5
- 13Fouls16
- 421Passes295
- 5Yellow cards5
Shots
- 6Shots on target2
- 10Shots off target5
- 3Blocked shots2
- 9Shots inside box6
- 10Shots outside box3
Attack
- 87Attacks48
- 0.75Expected assists (xA)0.68
- 14Key passes8
- 2/5 (40%)Dribbles2/13 (15%)
- 0Offsides4
Passes
- 367/421 (87%)Accurate passes241/295 (82%)
- 22/46 (48%)Long balls19/41 (46%)
- 2/9 (22%)Crosses5/18 (28%)
- 81Final third entries33
Defending
- 12/14 (86%)Tackles won4/8 (50%)
- 5Interceptions4
- 10Clearances12
- 4/10 (40%)Aerial duels6/10 (60%)
Other
- 15Free kicks12
- 7Throw-ins20
- 10Goal kicks9
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Home
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After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-011.4%Our score
- 1-111.0%
- 2-110.8%
- 2-09.8%
- 3-15.9%Alternative
Top five combined: 48.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Atletico Nacional win and over 2.5 goals37.0%
- Atletico Nacional win and both teams score26.8%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals16.6%
- Junior win and over 2.5 goals11.2%
| Atletico Nacional | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 80.7% | 41.7% |
| Draw no bet | 75.1% | 24.9% |
| Win to nil | 31.5% | 9.5% |
| Either team wins | 77.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 84.9% | 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55.0% | 25.5% |
| Clean sheet | 37.1% | 15.1% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +20 | 40 | ||
| 2 | 19 | +7 | 35 | ||
| 3 | 19 | +4 | 34 | ||
| 4 | 19 | +10 | 33 | ||
| 5 | 19 | +9 | 33 | ||
| 6 | 19 | +10 | 31 | ||
| 7 | 19 | +7 | 29 | ||
| 8 | 19 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 9 | 19 | +4 | 27 | ||
| 10 | 19 | +8 | 26 | ||
| 11 | 19 | +2 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 13 | 19 | +6 | 23 | ||
| 14 | 19 | -3 | 22 | ||
| 15 | 19 | -5 | 22 | ||
| 16 | 19 | -13 | 18 | ||
| 17 | 19 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 18 | 19 | -17 | 17 | ||
| 19 | 19 | -13 | 16 | ||
| 20 | 19 | -17 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | LLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | LLLLL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | WWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | LWDWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Rionegro Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | DDWLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LWLLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLLWL |