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Athletic Club vs Sport Recife Prediction - 1 October 2026

Serie BBrazilFull time
Athletic Club
1-2
Sport Recife

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

Odds 1.40Won

70%
Correct score
1-1
Alternative
2-1
Over 1.5 goals
5/5Athletic Club · last 5 games

Bookmaker odds

1Home2.25
XDraw3.42
2Away3.16
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.40
Under 1.52.81
Over 2.52.18
Under 2.51.68
Over 3.53.90
Under 3.51.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.94
No1.77
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.88
Away +0.251.83

Form

Athletic Club
  1. D 2-2
  2. D 1-1
  3. W 2-0
  4. L 0-3
  5. W 5-0
Sport Recife
  1. L 1-3
  2. W 2-1
  3. L 1-2
  4. W 2-0
  5. L 1-2

Head to head

  1. 11 Jun 2026 Sport Recife 1 Athletic Club 1 Serie B
  2. 18 Mar 2026 Sport Recife 1 Athletic Club 3 Copa Do Brasil

Team averages before kickoff

Athletic ClubSport Recife

For

  • 10.2Total shots14.6
  • 3.4Shots on target4.0
  • 3.6Corner kicks4.4
  • 1.8Cards1.6

Against

  • 17.2Total shots16.4
  • 5.6Shots on target3.9
  • 4.9Corner kicks7.4
  • 1.6Cards1.7
Prediction, preview and head to head: Athletic Club vs Sport Recife

Match analysis

Athletic Club vs Sport Recife on 1 October is a meeting of two mid-table Serie B sides with nothing pressing at either end of the table, and both keep finding the net. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.40 with a 70% chance.

Every one of the two sides' last ten games had at least two goals

Superior builds each side's expected scoring from what it has scored and conceded, then prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid. Here the two rates land close together, so the grid spreads its weight across 1-1, 2-1 and the one-goal scores instead of piling onto a blank. The recent record fits that shape: Athletic beat Vila Nova 5-0 and drew 2-2 at Fortaleza on 27 September, while Sport Recife's last five ended 1-3, 2-1, 1-2, 2-0 and 1-2. The two meetings this year, both in Recife, finished 1-1 and 3-1 to Athletic.

Athletic were shut out 3-0 at Cuiaba on 8 September

Over 1.5 loses to 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1, and Athletic have already had a night without a goal this month, beaten 3-0 at Cuiaba. A repeat blank at home with Sport Recife scoring once is a 0-1, and that is the route the grid leaves open. Its single likeliest score is 1-1, which wins the bet, but one goal fewer from either side loses it.

Formations

Confirmed formations

Athletic Club: 3-4-3(confirmed lineup)Sport Recife: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)

Today's acca

2 matches, total odds 1.66Lost
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