Santos vs Mirassol Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.35Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.84

Draw3.54

Away4.36

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.24

Under 1.53.38

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Over 3.53.18

Under 3.51.27

Both teams to score

Yes1.78

No1.93

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.81

Handicap

Home -0.751.99

Away +0.751.68

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Santos vs Mirassol?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Santos are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match analysis

Santos and Mirassol's own scoring rates add up to just 2.0 goals a game between them, and that combined total supports Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick for Santos vs Mirassol on 23 August. The price is 1.35, and the model's read on this line sits at 62 percent, a lean rather than a claim of price value given the roughly 74 percent break-even the price needs. Santos hold the sharper end of it at 1.2 goals a game at home.

Neither attack rates above 5.9 out of 10

Santos and Mirassol both carry attack ratings under 6 out of 10, among the more modest pairings on the board, and Superior's model builds its projection from that measured output rather than either club's name. Mirassol's away form has produced a single goal in three of their last five matches.

Mirassol were also thrashed 5-1 by Flamengo since

Their March h2h meeting with Santos finished 2-2, four goals that would beat this line outright, and Mirassol were also thrashed 5-1 by Flamengo since, proof they can be part of an open, high-scoring game. A repeat of either result, rather than the tighter form both sides have shown elsewhere, is the honest risk.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-110.4%Projected
1-09.7%Alternative
2-18.5%
2-07.6%
0-06.0%

Top five combined: 42.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSantosxG1.87

AwayMirassolxG1.25

4.4%

8.3%

7.7%

4.8%

2.2%

0.8%

0.4%

5.5%

10%

9.7%

6.0%

2.8%

1.0%

0.4%

3.5%

6.5%

6.0%

3.7%

1.7%

0.7%

0.3%

1.4%

2.7%

2.5%

1.6%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.4%

0.8%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.3%39.7% No

Over 1.5 81.7%18.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 60.2%39.8% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 37.8%62.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Santos win and over 2.5 goals35.9%

Santos win and both teams score27.6%

Mirassol win and over 2.5 goals16.5%

Draw and under 2.5 goals14.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Santos or draw74.5%

Mirassol or draw48.1%

Either team wins77.4%

Draw no bet: Santos67.0%

Draw no bet: Mirassol33.0%

Santos win to nil24.3%

Mirassol win to nil11.0%

Team goals

Santos to score84.5%

Mirassol to score71.3%

Santos over 1.5 goals55.7%

Mirassol over 1.5 goals35.5%

Santos clean sheet28.7%

Mirassol clean sheet15.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Team news

Confirmed formations

Santos: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Mirassol: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Santos vs Mirassol

Head to Head

Santos vs Mirassol: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
March 11, 2026	Mirassol	2 - 2	Santos
November 20, 2025	Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
July 19, 2025	Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	25	15	7	3	45	21	+24	52
2	Flamengo	24	14	6	4	48	21	+27	48
3	Atletico Paranaense	25	13	6	6	37	25	+12	45
4	Fluminense	25	11	9	5	39	32	+7	42
5	Bahia	25	10	10	5	37	30	+7	40
6	Cruzeiro FC	25	11	6	8	35	36	-1	39
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
7	Coritiba	25	10	7	8	33	33	0	37
8	Atletico-MG	24	10	6	8	32	28	+4	36
9	RB Bragantino	24	10	5	9	29	25	+4	35
10	Corinthians	25	8	8	9	26	25	+1	32
11	Sao Paulo	24	8	6	10	29	28	+1	30
12	Botafogo	24	8	6	10	37	40	-3	30
13	Vitoria	25	8	5	12	24	37	-13	29
14	Santos	24	7	8	9	34	36	-2	29
15	Gremio	24	7	7	10	27	32	-5	28
16	Mirassol	24	6	7	11	27	37	-10	25
17	Vasco DA Gama	24	6	7	11	27	39	-12	25
18	Internacional	25	5	10	10	26	31	-5	25
19	Remo	25	5	8	12	30	42	-12	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	24	2	8	14	25	49	-24	14
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Relegation

Serie A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Palmeiras	25	15	7	3	45	21	24	52	WLWWW
2	Flamengo	24	14	6	4	48	21	27	48	DDWWL
3	Atletico Paranaense	25	13	6	6	37	25	12	45	DWWWW
4	Fluminense	25	11	9	5	39	32	7	42	DDDDL
5	Bahia	25	10	10	5	37	30	7	40	DDDWW
6	Cruzeiro FC	25	11	6	8	35	36	-1	39
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30	WLWDW
7	Coritiba	25	10	7	8	33	33	0	37	LDLLW
8	Atletico-MG	24	10	6	8	32	28	4	36	WDWLW
9	RB Bragantino	24	10	5	9	29	25	4	35	DDWWW
10	Corinthians	25	8	8	9	26	25	1	32	DDWWW
11	Sao Paulo	24	8	6	10	29	28	1	30	DLLDL
12	Botafogo	24	8	6	10	37	40	-3	30	WDWLD
13	Vitoria	25	8	5	12	24	37	-13	29	LLDWL
14	Santos	24	7	8	9	34	36	-2	29	DLWLL
15	Gremio	24	7	7	10	27	32	-5	28	DLLWD
16	Mirassol	24	6	7	11	27	37	-10	25	WDWLW
17	Vasco DA Gama	24	6	7	11	27	39	-12	25	DLLLL
18	Internacional	25	5	10	10	26	31	-5	25	DLLLL
19	Remo	25	5	8	12	30	42	-12	23	LWLWL
20	Chapecoense-sc	24	2	8	14	25	49	-24	14
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Santos vs Mirassol Prediction - August 23, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Santos vs Mirassol?

Match analysis

Neither attack rates above 5.9 out of 10

Mirassol were also thrashed 5-1 by Flamengo since

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More Serie A Predictions

Confirmed formations

Head to Head

League Table