Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo Prediction - August 23, 2026
Alternative:0-1
Goals: Under 3.51.30Won
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sao Paulo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Three separate 1-1 draws in five matches show a Sao Paulo side settling for control rather than chances, which is why Superior prices Under 3.5 goals at 1.3 for Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo on 23 August. The model's read on this line sits at 69 percent, a clear lean rather than a claim of price value, and Chapecoense add a similarly modest 1.2 goals a game at home.
Three separate 1-1 draws define Sao Paulo's recent trips
That is not one repeated scoreline by coincidence so much as a side settling for control over chances, and Sao Paulo's 6.4 attack rating has not translated into more than a goal in most of these games. Chapecoense's own home form has been almost as contained, which keeps Superior's combined projection under this line.
Chapecoense's last home defeat was 0-4
That loss to Flamengo produced four goals on its own, enough to beat this line outright, and it is the clearest sign Chapecoense's defence can be pulled apart by a sharper attack. Sao Paulo carry more quality than the three draws suggest, and a repeat of that kind of scoreline is the honest risk here.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-110.9%Projected
- 0-19.3%Alternative
- 1-28.2%
- 0-07.2%
- 0-26.9%
Top five combined: 42.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticket
Team news
Confirmed formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense-sc |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | +24 | 52 | ||
| 2 | 24 | +27 | 48 | ||
| 3 | 25 | +12 | 45 | ||
| 4 | 25 | +7 | 42 | ||
| 5 | 25 | +7 | 40 | ||
| 6 | 25 | -1 | 39 | ||
| 7 | 21 | -3 | 30 | ||
| 7 | 25 | 0 | 37 | ||
| 8 | 24 | +4 | 36 | ||
| 9 | 24 | +4 | 35 | ||
| 10 | 25 | +1 | 32 | ||
| 11 | 24 | +1 | 30 | ||
| 12 | 24 | -3 | 30 | ||
| 13 | 25 | -13 | 29 | ||
| 14 | 24 | -2 | 29 | ||
| 15 | 24 | -5 | 28 | ||
| 16 | 24 | -10 | 25 | ||
| 17 | 24 | -12 | 25 | ||
| 18 | 25 | -5 | 25 | ||
| 19 | 25 | -12 | 23 | ||
| 20 | 24 | -24 | 14 | ||
| 20 | 20 | -22 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 52 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Flamengo | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 48 | DDWWL |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 45 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 42 | DDDDL |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 40 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Cruzeiro FC | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 39 | |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 | WLWDW |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 | LDLLW |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 35 | DDWWW |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 32 | DDWWW |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 | DLLDL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 30 | WDWLD |
| 13 | Vitoria | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 29 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 | DLWLL |
| 15 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 28 | DLLWD |
| 16 | Mirassol | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Vasco DA Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 23 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 14 | |
| 20 | Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |