Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Toluca vs Santos Laguna
- Projected score
- 2 - 0
- Alternative score
- 3 - 0
- Featured pick
- Match Winner: Home @ 1.3
Match analysis
Toluca have scored 14 goals and conceded just two across their last five Liga MX matches, a run that dwarfs anything Santos Laguna have managed away from home this month. Superior is backing that gap to hold with the home win in Toluca vs Santos Laguna on 21 September, priced at 1.30 with the model's confidence at 74 percent.
Toluca have scored 14 and conceded two in five matches
The run reads five straight wins: 1-0 away at Puebla, then home routs of Atlas (5-2), Monterrey (2-0), Leon (2-0) and FC Juarez (4-0). That puts Toluca's scoring average at 2.8 goals a game against Santos Laguna's 0.8, and the head to head backs the same story. Toluca have won the last three meetings between these two, 3-1, 4-2 away and 2-1, so recent history and current form point the same direction.
Santos Laguna's only win in five came on the road
Santos Laguna's five match log is one win, one draw and three losses, and that win was a 2-1 scoreline away at FC Juarez, the exact shape of result that would beat Toluca tonight. A draw needs Toluca to go scoreless for the first time in five games, and an away win needs Santos Laguna to repeat a performance they have not managed at home in three attempts this month.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Bookmaker odds
Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.
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Match History
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 15, 2026 | Toluca | 3 - 1 | Santos Laguna |
| July 17, 2025 | Santos Laguna | 2 - 4 | Toluca |
| April 7, 2025 | Toluca | 2 - 1 | Santos Laguna |
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 14, 2026 | Santos Laguna | 2 - 1 | FC Juarez |
| September 6, 2026 | Cruz Azul | 1 - 0 | Santos Laguna |
| August 30, 2026 | Santos Laguna | 0 - 0 | Tigres UANL |
| August 23, 2026 | Puebla | 3 - 2 | Santos Laguna |
| August 17, 2026 | Santos Laguna | 0 - 1 | Guadalajara Chivas |
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 16, 2026 | Puebla | 0 - 1 | Toluca |
| September 12, 2026 | Toluca | 5 - 2 | Atlas |
| September 7, 2026 | Toluca | 2 - 0 | Monterrey |
| September 3, 2026 | Toluca | 2 - 0 | Leon |