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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ivory Coast vs Ghana

Correct score
1 - 0
Alternative score
2 - 0
Featured pick
Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.25
Match page and graded archive

Match analysis

Ivory Coast host Ghana in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying on 24 September, and Superior's model projects a controlled 1-0 for the hosts, with 2-0 the next most likely score. Ivory Coast are averaging 1.4 goals a game in this qualifying cycle against Ghana's 0.6, more than double the away side's scoring rate.

Ivory Coast score more than double Ghana's rate in qualifying

The gap in this cycle is real: Ivory Coast have put together 1.4 goals a game to Ghana's 0.6, and the hosts' attack rating of 6.1 against a defence rating of 5.9 shows a team creating chances without the numbers needing to spike for the model to back them at home.

Ghana have not won away in their last four qualifiers

Ghana's away form backs up the low scoring rate: their last four matches on the road produced two draws and two defeats, with no win among them. That kind of streak away from home is a big part of why the model leans on a home win rather than anything more open.

Ivory Coast's own home form has been mixed

The clearest risk is that this fixture does not follow the qualifying-cycle scoring gap: in their last two home matches, Ivory Coast lost one 1-2 before winning the other 1-0. If that same defensive slip resurfaces and Ghana's attack finds one clean chance, a 1-1 or a narrow away result matches the model's own alternate read more closely than the leading 1-0.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.55price falling, opened at 1.66
Draw3.74price rising, opened at 3.54
Away5.99price rising, opened at 5.13

Market move since Sep 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34price falling, opened at 1.35
Under 1.52.78price rising, opened at 2.74
Over 2.52.17
Under 2.51.63
Over 3.53.90price falling, opened at 3.92
Under 3.51.18
Both teams to score
Yes2.18price rising, opened at 2.10
No1.61price falling, opened at 1.66
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -11.99
Away +11.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Ghana vs Ivory Coast: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 4, 2026Colombia1 - 0Ghana
June 27, 2026Croatia2 - 1Ghana
June 23, 2026England0 - 0Ghana
June 17, 2026Ghana1 - 0Panama
June 2, 2026Wales1 - 1Ghana

Head to Head

Ivory Coast vs Ghana: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 30, 2026Ivory Coast1 - 2Norway
June 25, 2026Curaçao0 - 2Ivory Coast
June 20, 2026Germany2 - 1Ivory Coast
June 14, 2026Ivory Coast1 - 0Ecuador