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Choosing a prediction site

Football prediction sites compared: what to check before you trust one

Every football prediction site says it's accurate. Almost none of them let you check. The five questions below separate a record you can audit from a number somebody typed.

The five checks

Run these against any site you are considering. A site that fails the first two cannot be verified by anyone outside it, no matter how confident the copy sounds.

  1. Does it show the losses?A page of winners proves nothing, because any site can publish the winners and quietly drop the rest. A record is only a record if the misses are in it, at the same size and on the same page.
  2. Is the original pick still there?A tip that only appears after the match is a result, not a prediction. Look for a timestamped pick that does not change once the score is known, and treat an undated archive as unverifiable rather than as evidence.
  3. Does it say how the number is produced?A published method can be argued with, which is the point. If a site never states where its number comes from, whether a model, a tipster or a bought feed, you cannot tell what you are reading.
  4. Are the quoted odds real and dated?Returns are only meaningful at the price you could have taken. Odds move, so a record built on prices captured after the fact will flatter itself without anyone lying.
  5. Does it promise a percentage?A promised accuracy figure or a fixed win rate is the clearest warning sign on this list. Football does not work that way, so a site that promises one is telling you what it thinks you want to hear.

How Superior Tips answers each one

Our answers are links, not adjectives. Each one opens a page you can read without an account.

The graded archive

Settled picks shown next to the forecast as it was published.

Open the record

The method, in writing

How the model produces a probability, what it uses, and where it is strongest.

Read the methodology

Original research, with the data

Our study of how bookmaker margin grows with every game added to an accumulator, measured on 68,010 completed matches, with the source data published.

Read the accumulator study

The sites people compare us with

These are the established free prediction and stats sites that readers ask about most often: Forebet, PredictZ, WinDrawWin, SoccerVista, Zulubet, BetMines, Vitibet, OddSlot, xGScore, FootballPredictions and BettingExpert. Each takes its own approach to modelling a match.

A fair accuracy comparison needs each site's full record of published picks, with the odds and the timestamps attached. That is why our graded record is public, and why the five checks above work on every site on this list.

Run the five checks on each of them, and on us.

If you run a football site

Our daily pick is available as a free embeddable widget: one line of code, no signup, no API key, light or dark, 13 languages. The credit link it renders is nofollow, so it cannot affect your own search ranking in either direction.

Get the free widget

Open dataset of settled picks

Every settled selection we have published since September 2025 is an open dataset on GitHub under CC-BY 4.0: one row per pick, wins and losses together, with the price and the model probability we published at the time. Recompute anything on this page from it. No other prediction site on our own comparison list publishes one.

Open the dataset on GitHub

Previewed for the coming days