Verona vs Pallacanestro Varese basketball prediction

Top pick 2

Our pick:Home +6.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.29

83%

Score prediction: 92-86

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.68

Away2.19

Total points 175

Over1.89

Under1.89

Spread -2.5

Home1.90

Away1.90

Methodology

Match analysis

Verona have won both home games in their last five, 75-72 against Olimpia Milano and 94-81 against Reggiana, and Superior projects them six points clear of Pallacanestro Varese at 92-86. That home result, with 6.5 points added, is the case for Verona +6.5, Including Overtime, in Saturday's Lega A game.

Varese have won by seven once in Italy this month

Varese's 110-103 home win over Bc Roma on 24 October is the margin that would beat this start, and it came in their own building. Their other results in the last five were tighter: an 85-84 win over Trieste, then defeats by two at Trento and by three at home to Peristeri. The 95-61 rout at Bamberg on Tuesday was the only wide one. Across the season Varese score 86.8 and allow 88.2 a game.

Milano held to 72 in Verona

Verona's 75-72 win over Olimpia Milano on 5 October is the best result on their record, and Reggiana managed 81 there two weeks later. Away from home they have been looser, beaten 108-99 at Trieste and 101-93 at Tortona, but this game is in Verona, where the projection puts them on 92 points.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk