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Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers basketball prediction

NBA
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Under 248.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.26

90%
Live
Score prediction
113-112

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home2.28price rising, opened at 1.98
Away1.63price falling, opened at 1.83
Total points 234 line moved from 235.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread +3.5 line moved from -1.5
Home1.89
Away1.91

Match analysis

The Lakers play at Golden State on the second night of a back-to-back, a day after their 103-87 win over the Clippers, while the Warriors come in on two days of rest. Superior's projection weighs that gap and has Golden State winning 113-112, a 225-point game that sits well inside Under 248.5 points, Including Overtime.

Three of the last ten went past 248

Neither side is a stranger to a shootout. Portland beat the Lakers 136-129 in Los Angeles on 28 October, 265 points, the Lakers won 132-123 at Utah on 25 October, and Golden State lost 131-122 at Phoenix the same night. All three cleared this line. The other seven games in the two teams' last fives finished between 190 and 248, the top of that range a 134-114 Warriors win in Denver.

Memphis scored 111 at Golden State

The Warriors' only home game in that run was a 111-108 defeat by Memphis on 24 October, a 219-point night, and four of their last five came on the road. Home court and the Lakers' missing day of rest are what tilt the projection one point toward Golden State, with both teams landing in the low 110s rather than the 130s of those high nights.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Golden State Warriors by 1
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginGolden State WarriorsLos Angeles Lakers
Wins54%46%
By 6+41%32%
By 11+29%21%
By 16+18%13%
By 21+11%8%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Home54%
  • Spread: Home +9.576%

Form and context

Golden State Warriors

Season record
6-5
Points per game
115.5
Points allowed
112.3
Rest
2 d
  1. W119-114Minnesota Timberwolves
  2. W134-114Denver Nuggets
  3. L122-131Phoenix Suns
  4. L108-111Memphis Grizzlies
  5. L105-127Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers

Season record
6-4
Points per game
115
Points allowed
112.7
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. W103-87Los Angeles Clippers
  2. L129-136Portland Trail Blazers
  3. W132-123Utah Jazz
  4. W125-117Los Angeles Clippers
  5. W127-105Golden State Warriors

Head to head

  1. 22 Oct 26Los Angeles Lakers127Golden State Warriors105
  2. 14 Oct 26Los Angeles Lakers89Golden State Warriors101
  3. 7 Oct 26Golden State Warriors124Los Angeles Lakers98
  4. 19 Jul 26Los Angeles Lakers88Golden State Warriors92
  5. 4 Jul 26Golden State Warriors104Los Angeles Lakers72

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