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Virtus Bologna vs Zalgiris Kaunas basketball prediction

Euroleague
Top pick 2

Our pick:Home +9.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.47

80%
Score prediction
85-84

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home2.37price falling, opened at 2.57
Away1.58price rising, opened at 1.50
Total points 172 line moved from 171
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread +3.5 line moved from +4.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Match analysis

Virtus Bologna +9.5 points, Including Overtime, is the bet at home to Zalgiris Kaunas, and their own run makes the case, since the worst of their last five was a nine-point defeat at Hapoel Tel Aviv and they won the other four, two of them away. Superior projects an 85-84 home win.

Zalgiris win big in Kaunas

Zalgiris beat Jonava by 23, Lyon by 20 and Taurage by 20 this month, the size of win that threatens Virtus, and all three came at home. Away from Kaunas their last game was a 99-80 defeat at Fenerbahce, and Anadolu Efes also won 85-70 in Kaunas in between.

Two meetings in Bologna, decided by four and three

The head-to-head splits on venue. Zalgiris won all three meetings in Kaunas, by 21, 9 and 15, while the two in Bologna went 83-79 to Virtus in January and 71-68 to Zalgiris in October 2024. Virtus scored 98 at Olimpia Milano on Sunday and 96 at Paris earlier in the month, and over the season they have scored 86.6 a game and allowed 86.9, and Superior projects a one-point game.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Virtus Bologna by 1
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginVirtus BolognaZalgiris Kaunas
Wins52%48%
By 6+34%31%
By 11+20%17%
By 16+10%8%
By 21+4%3%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

Virtus Bologna

Season record
4-3
Points per game
86.6
Points allowed
86.9
Rest
3 d
  1. W98-94Olimpia Milano
  2. L81-90Hapoel Tel Aviv
  3. W108-83Scafati
  4. W86-78Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
  5. W96-94Paris Basketball

Zalgiris Kaunas

Season record
3-4
Points per game
85
Points allowed
86
Rest
3 d
  1. W86-63CBet Jonava
  2. W105-85Lyon-Villeurbanne
  3. W96-76Taurage
  4. L70-85Anadolu Efes Istanbul
  5. L80-99Fenerbahce

Head to head

  1. 6 Jan 26Virtus Bologna83Zalgiris Kaunas79
  2. 28 Oct 25Zalgiris Kaunas86Virtus Bologna65
  3. 15 Jan 25Zalgiris Kaunas77Virtus Bologna68
  4. 15 Oct 24Virtus Bologna68Zalgiris Kaunas71
  5. 19 Mar 24Zalgiris Kaunas96Virtus Bologna81
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