Valencia vs Fenerbahce basketball prediction

Bet of the Day

Our pick:Home +9.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.28

85%

Score prediction: 88-84

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home2.04

Away1.77

Total points 178.5

Over1.90

Under1.90

Spread +1.5

Home1.92

Away1.88

Methodology

Match analysis

Superior backs Valencia +9.5 points against Fenerbahce on Tuesday, Including Overtime, because Fenerbahce win low-scoring games, averaging 80.7 points and allowing 72.6, and their latest Euroleague win was 64-61 at Olympiacos. Valencia are projected to win 88-84 at home, so the start sits a long way from the expected margin.

Valencia lost to Maccabi and Olympiacos by three and five

Valencia's two defeats this month both came at home, 91-88 to Maccabi Tel Aviv on 15 October and 102-97 to Olympiacos two days earlier. They have won three straight since, scoring 116 against Murcia, 104 in Paris and 84 against Baskonia, and they average 99.1 points a game. Fenerbahce's other Euroleague win this month, 74-65 over Partizan, was by nine.

Tuesday is Valencia's third game in five days

Fenerbahce have had four days off since Piraeus, while Valencia played in Paris on 23 October and at home to Baskonia on Saturday. Rest is one of the inputs behind the projection, and with that gap counted it still has Valencia ahead by four.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk