Sunday's parlay at total odds of 2.00 takes Under 195.5 points in Real Madrid vs Bilbao Basket, Under 194.5 in Valencia vs Murcia and Under 187.5 in Ironi Ness Ziona vs Bnei Herzliya, all three Including Overtime. Madrid's attack is the one most likely to break it.
Madrid have kept four straight opponents to 92 or fewer
Madrid are the weakest game on the ticket, because three of their last five games passed 195 points. Their defence is what keeps this Under alive, with Lyon-Villeurbanne held to 92 on Thursday, Olimpia Milano to 89, Manresa to 83 and Partizan to 76, and the forecast is a 97-88 Madrid win.
Murcia score 84.7 a game in the ACB
Murcia's league scoring is modest, with 77 at home to Tenerife on 11 October, and Valencia arrive on two days' rest after a 91-88 defeat to Maccabi Tel Aviv, their third loss in a row. A 98-86 Valencia win is the forecast, 184 points.
Four Ness Ziona games between 138 and 155
Ironi Ness Ziona's last five games include four that finished between 138 and 155 points, the latest a 76-62 defeat at Maccabi Ashdod. None of the five meetings with Bnei Herzliya since May 2024 went past 183.