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Ticket analysis

Metropolitanos have scored once or not at all in all five meetings with Carabobo this year, and that record backs Metropolitanos under 2.5 goals on a ticket with Over 1.5 goals in AEK Athens vs Real Madrid, at total odds of 1.50.

Every AEK game since mid-October reached two goals

The lowest-scoring game in AEK's last five was Sunday's 2-0 defeat at Panathinaikos, and the others finished 3-1, 5-0, 5-1 and 3-1. Real Madrid's own run since 14 October holds nothing under three goals, and the Athens game kicks off first, at 17:45 UTC.

Five straight draws for Metropolitanos

Metropolitanos drew 1-1 at Carabobo on Sunday, 0-0 with Portuguesa, 2-2 at Real Esppor, 1-1 with Academia Anzoátegui and 2-2 at Estudiantes de Merida, and two was the most they scored in any of them. They average 1.2 goals a game, and the rematch with Carabobo starts at 23:30 UTC, three days after the 1-1. Carabobo did win 5-1 at Metropolitanos in May, but the hosts scored once that night as well.

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