Skip to picks

Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune Prediction, Rolex Paris Masters, 3 November 2026

Rolex Paris MastersMasters 1000 · Indoor hard · Round of 64
Tommy Paul to win83%chance

Match analysis

Holger Rune has played five matches this season, and the first of them came on 1 October. That short record, set against Tommy Paul's 43 hard-court matches in 2026, is why Superior gives Paul an 83% chance in their Paris Masters opener on Tuesday.

Nearly a year between Rune's matches

Rune retired against Ugo Humbert at the Nordic Open on 18 October 2025, a set up at 6-4 2-2, and his next match came at the Japan Open almost twelve months later, a 3-6 1-6 loss to Kyrian Jacquet. He then lost to Daniel Altmaier in Shanghai before Basel gave him two wins, over Quentin Halys and Hubert Hurkacz, and a three-set defeat by Valentin Vacherot. That makes him 2-3 for the year. Paul is 28-15 on hard courts and has spent the last two weeks indoors in Lyon and Vienna, where he won four of six matches. Rune's Basel week shows he can still win at this level; the gap Superior prices is how little of that tennis there has been.

Form

Tommy Paul
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
Holger Rune
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W

Win-loss 2026

Tommy PaulHolger Rune
Hard28-152-3
Clay11-4-
Grass6-2-