Cameron Norrie vs Ben Shelton Prediction, Rolex Paris Masters, 3 November 2026
Match analysis
Cameron Norrie has won three of his last ten matches, and Superior backs Ben Shelton to beat him in the Paris round of 32 with a 74% chance. The risk sits on Shelton's side of the net, where eight of his last ten sets went to a tiebreak.
Norrie's three wins since Cincinnati
Norrie's last ten matches go back to Cincinnati in August, and the three he won were against Dino Prizmic there, Francisco Cerundolo in Vienna and Matteo Arnaldi here on Monday, 6-4 1-6 6-3. He lost to Benjamin Bonzi in Lyon and Dalibor Svrcina in Shanghai in three sets, and to Daniil Medvedev in Vienna in a deciding tiebreak.
Shelton is 27-9 on hard courts this season
His US Open went through Hubert Hurkacz, Denis Shapovalov, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Carlos Alcaraz in five sets and Frances Tiafoe before Alexander Zverev stopped him. That season record is the core of his chance on Tuesday.
Four tiebreaks won and four lost in Shanghai and Basel
Shelton beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in Basel 6-7(4) 7-6(3) 7-6(4), lost to Jerome Kym 3-6 7-6(4) 6-7(1), and went out in Shanghai to Arthur Gea in two tiebreaks. Two of his last four matches were lost that way, so a tight set against Norrie is the one route this match offers the Briton.
Form
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
Win-loss 2026
| Cameron Norrie | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 17-15 | 27-9 |
| Clay | 5-6 | 8-5 |
| Grass | 0-2 | 6-2 |