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Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction, Rolex Paris Masters, 2 November 2026

Rolex Paris MastersMasters 1000 · Indoor hard · Round of 64
Lorenzo Musetti to winWon54%chance

Match analysis

Lorenzo Musetti has won six of his last seven indoor matches, five of them at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes, the last a 6-3 6-4 win over Taylor Fritz on 25 October. Superior takes him to beat Hubert Hurkacz in the round of 64 in Paris, where the 2.01 price still has Musetti as the slight outsider.

Seven indoor matches since 19 October

Musetti beat Matteo Arnaldi, Moise Kouame, Luca Van Assche, Flavio Cobolli and Fritz between 19 and 25 October, two of them in three sets, then beat Frances Tiafoe 7-6(6) 7-5 at the Erste Bank Open before Arthur Fery stopped him 4-6 7-5 4-6 on 29 October. His hard-court record for 2026 is 20-9, and Hurkacz's is 24-15.

Hurkacz has lost two final-set tiebreaks since 13 October

Hurkacz took the first set against Holger Rune in Basel on 28 October and against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in Shanghai on 13 October, and lost both in a third-set tiebreak. Their only meeting went to Musetti 6-4 7-6(4), but that was on clay in Madrid in April, and it doesn't say much about an indoor court in November.

Written by the Superior Tennis Desk

Form

Hubert Hurkacz
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
Lorenzo Musetti
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W

Win-loss 2026

Hubert HurkaczLorenzo Musetti
Hard24-1520-9
Clay8-56-4
Grass4-3-

H2H

Hubert Hurkacz0 - 1Lorenzo Musetti

  1. Mutua Madrid OpenLorenzo Musetti6-4 7-6(4)