Cameron Norrie vs Taylor Fritz Prediction, BNP Paribas Nordic Open, 11 November 2026
- Score prediction
- Fritz6-4 6-3
- Alternative
- Fritz6-7 6-4 6-3
Match analysis
Taylor Fritz to win is the bet against Cameron Norrie in the Stockholm last 16, and the deciding set is where these two part ways. Norrie has lost three of his four final sets since October began, while Fritz won two of his three at the Paris Masters and took the first set off Carlos Alcaraz in a 12-10 tiebreak.
Norrie's autumn keeps slipping away in the third set
Norrie beat Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 in a decider in Paris, and that is his only final-set win since the start of October. Dalibor Svrcina beat him 6-4 in the third in Shanghai, Benjamin Bonzi 6-3 in Lyon and Daniil Medvedev in a third-set tiebreak in Vienna that Norrie lost 7-1. His hard-court record for 2026 stands at 18 wins and 17 defeats. He did open in Stockholm with a 7-5 6-0 win over James Duckworth on Monday, his cleanest result in a month.
Four matches in four days in Paris
Fritz beat Bonzi from a set down on 3 November, then Alex Molcan in a final-set tiebreak after dropping the first set, then Arthur Fils 6-3 6-4, before Alcaraz came back to beat him on 6 November. Bonzi is the same player who beat Norrie in Lyon three weeks ago. Wednesday is Fritz's first match in Stockholm, five days after that Alcaraz defeat, and a 35-16 season on hard courts sits behind his 74% chance.
Form
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- L
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
Win-loss 2026
| Cameron Norrie | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 18-17 | 35-16 |
| Clay | 5-6 | 0-2 |
| Grass | 0-2 | 11-3 |