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Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert Prediction, BNP Paribas Nordic Open, 11 November 2026

BNP Paribas Nordic OpenATP · Indoor hard · Round of 16
Ugo Humbert to win62%chance
Score prediction
Ugo Humbert
Humbert6-4 6-3
Alternative
Ugo Humbert
Humbert6-7 6-4 6-3

Match analysis

Ugo Humbert to win against Borna Gojo rests on what Gojo's week has already cost him and on where his hard-court wins came from. Wednesday is Gojo's fourth match in five days after coming through qualifying, while Humbert has played once in Stockholm, a 6-4 6-3 win over Adolfo Daniel Vallejo on Monday.

Humbert has lost four of his last five deciding sets

A long match is the danger for the pick. Humbert's only final-set win since 3 October came against Botic Van De Zandschulp in Paris, and Jiri Lehecka, Arthur Gea, Corentin Moutet and Novak Djokovic all beat him in a third set. Gojo is three from three in deciders over his last ten matches, the latest 7-6(7) against Mika Brunold in qualifying here.

Seven sets in three days before this one

Gojo followed the Brunold match with a 6-3 7-6(5) win over Nikoloz Basilashvili on 8 November and a 6-3 6-4 win over Tomas Machac on Monday. Humbert last played in Paris on 4 November, where Matteo Berrettini beat him 7-6(3) 7-5, and had four days off before his Stockholm opener.

Brest and Villena against Basel and Paris

Gojo is 35-13 on hard courts this season, and his last ten include Challengers in Brest and Villena. Humbert's 15-18 on the same surface came against a harder schedule, with defeats to Djokovic in Basel, Lehecka in Tokyo and Moutet in Lyon, and he carries a 62% chance despite the weaker record.

Form

Borna Gojo
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
Ugo Humbert
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Win-loss 2026

Borna GojoUgo Humbert
Hard35-1315-18
Clay2-25-5
Grass1-18-4