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Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Prediction, WTA Finals, 11 November 2026

WTA FinalsWTA 1000 · Hard · Round robin
Aryna Sabalenka to win58%chance
Score prediction
Aryna Sabalenka
Sabalenka6-4 6-3
Alternative
Mirra Andreeva
Andreeva6-4 6-3

Match analysis

Aryna Sabalenka to win is the bet against Mirra Andreeva at the WTA Finals, where both opened with a win on Monday. Sabalenka took their first two meetings 6-3 6-2 and 6-1 6-2 in January 2025, and Andreeva's one win, at Indian Wells that March, needed her to come from a set down.

Brisbane, Melbourne, then Indian Wells

Sabalenka dropped eight games across Brisbane and Melbourne at the start of 2025. Andreeva turned the third meeting round by taking the last two sets 6-4 6-3, so the head-to-head stands at 2-1 and every match of it was played on the surface of Wednesday's match. Sabalenka has won 35 of her 41 hard-court matches this season. Andreeva is 28-11 on hard and 22-3 on clay, the surface where she has lost three times all year.

Nikola Bartunkova beat Sabalenka and lost to Andreeva in Beijing

October gave Andreeva her best argument. Bartunkova beat Sabalenka 6-4 6-3 at the China Open on 4 October, and Andreeva beat the same player 6-2 6-2 there six days later. Sabalenka also lost a final-set tiebreak to Ann Li in Wuhan, while Andreeva arrived with six wins in her last eight and then gave Elina Svitolina a 6-0 set on Monday. Sabalenka's opener was tighter, 7-6(2) 7-5 against Karolina Muchova, and she still carries a 58% chance into the second day of the group.

Form

Aryna Sabalenka
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
Mirra Andreeva
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Win-loss 2026

Aryna SabalenkaMirra Andreeva
Hard35-628-11
Clay8-322-3
Grass5-21-2

H2H

Aryna Sabalenka2 - 1Mirra Andreeva

  1. BNP Paribas OpenMirra Andreeva2-6 6-4 6-3
  2. Australian OpenAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
  3. Brisbane InternationalAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2