Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction - 9 September 2026
Our pick:Away win
Odds 1.30Won
- Correct score
- 0-3
- Alternative
- 0-2
- Wins
- 5/5Benfica · last 5 games
Form
- L 1-2
- W 1-0
- L 0-4
- D 2-2
- W 2-0
- W 3-0
- W 2-1
- W 3-1
- W 3-1
- W 7-0
Head to head
- 25 Apr 2026 Benfica 4 Moreirense 1 Primeira Liga
- 14 Dec 2025 Moreirense 0 Benfica 4 Primeira Liga
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Benfica have scored 18 goals across five straight wins, yet Superior's model rates its away-win pick for Moreirense vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga on 9 September at just 50 percent, priced at 1.3, a good deal more cautious than that price implies. Moreirense's own inconsistent form is the reason the number stops there.
Benfica have scored 18 goals in their last five games
That run, at 3.6 goals a game, dwarfs Moreirense's own 1.2, and the head-to-head backs it up: Benfica won the reverse fixture 4-1 in April. Moreirense have also won two of their last five, though, including a draw last time out, and it is that inconsistency, not Benfica's quality, that keeps Superior's number at 50 rather than closer to what the market is pricing.
Moreirense have won two of their last five at home
The way this loses is a draw or a home win, and Moreirense's own record (LWLDW) shows they are capable of both, including a win and a draw already this season. Benfica's away form has been dominant, but a below-par attacking day against a side that has shown it will not simply roll over is exactly the scenario Superior's cautious number is built to survive.
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Away
- Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 0-2
- Correct score: 0-3
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 0-310.1%Our score
- 0-29.8%Alternative
- 1-38.0%
- 0-47.8%
- 1-27.8%
Top five combined: 43.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Benfica win and over 2.5 goals66.4%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals7.1%
- Moreirense win and over 2.5 goals4.1%
- Moreirense win and both teams score3.9%
| Moreirense | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 17.4% | 93.7% |
| Draw no bet | 7.1% | 92.9% |
| Win to nil | 2.5% | 43.3% |
| Either team wins | 88.9% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 54.7% | 95.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 18.8% | 81.5% |
| Clean sheet | 4.5% | 45.3% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61WonLeague table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +17 | 27 | |
| 2 | 8 | +17 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | +5 | 17 | |
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | +1 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 9 | -10 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | -9 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | -12 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | -8 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 27 | |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 19 | |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 | |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 | |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 17 | |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 | |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 | |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 | Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 | |
| 14 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 | |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 | |
| 17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |