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El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Prediction - 9 September 2026

Premier LeagueEgyptFull time
El Mokawloon
1-1
Al Ahly

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.28Won

58%
Correct score
1-2
Alternative
1-1
Under 3.5 goals
4/5Al Ahly · last 5 games

Form

El Mokawloon
  1. W 1-0
  2. L 2-3
  3. L 0-1
  4. W 3-1
  5. D 2-2
Al Ahly
  1. W 1-0
  2. W 2-0
  3. W 3-2
  4. L 1-2
  5. W 2-0

Head to head

  1. 5 Mar 2026 El Mokawloon 1 Al Ahly 3 Premier League
  2. 30 Dec 2025 Al Ahly 0 El Mokawloon 3 League Cup

Bookmaker odds

1Home
9.80
XDraw
4.75
2Away
1.27
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26
Under 1.53.20
Over 2.51.87
Under 2.51.83
Over 3.53.08
Under 3.51.28
Both teams to score
Yes2.40
No1.50
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +1.51.78
Away -1.51.89

Match analysis

Al Ahly's attack is rated 6.9 out of 10 against a home defence rated 6.3, a narrow enough gap that Superior is not backing a routine away goal rush in El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly, the Egyptian Premier League fixture on 9 September priced at 1.28 for Under 3.5 and rated 64 percent.

Al Ahly's defence is rated a point clear of El Mokawloon's attack

That same gap runs the other way too: Al Ahly's own defence, at 6.7, comfortably outranks El Mokawloon's attack at 6.4, which is why the combined average of 3.4 goals a game sits just under this line rather than well clear of it. The reverse fixture in March went 3-1 to Al Ahly, and El Mokawloon are fighting relegation while Al Ahly sit a comfortable third with nothing pressing.

The combined average here is only a tenth of a goal off the line

The way this loses is four or more total goals, and at a combined 3.4 a game, this pairing sits close enough to that number that one open half would tip it over. Al Ahly have scored nine in their last five and El Mokawloon eight, and if a relegation-threatened home side chases the game the way it has at times this season, four goals is a short step away.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.28
  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.25Lost1.24
  • Match Winner: AwayLost1.46
  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.5Lost1.50
  • Asian Handicap: Away -1.25Lost1.99
  • Correct score: 0-2Lost5.75
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-29.8%Our score
  2. 0-29.7%
  3. 1-18.6%Alternative
  4. 0-18.4%
  5. 1-37.4%

Top five combined: 43.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEl MokawloonxG1.01
AwayAl AhlyxG2.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.7%
3.7%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
8.4%
8.6%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
2
9.7%
9.8%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
7.4%
7.4%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
4.2%
4.3%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
1.9%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 57.2%42.8% No
Over 1.5 84.1%15.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 64.0%36.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 41.9%58.1% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Al Ahly win and over 2.5 goals47.9%
  2. Draw and under 2.5 goals12.2%
  3. El Mokawloon win and over 2.5 goals9.7%
  4. El Mokawloon win and both teams score8.9%
El MokawloonAl Ahly
Outcome markets
Win or draw34.0%84.6%
Draw no bet18.9%81.1%
Win to nil6.5%32.7%
Either team wins81.3%
Team goals
To score63.6%89.8%
Over 1.5 goals26.9%66.6%
Clean sheet10.2%36.4%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61
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Prediction, preview and head to head: El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly
League table

League table

Premier LeagueEgypt · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17700173+1421
26510113+816
3751193+616
4641184+413
57412129+313
66402117+412
77322106+411
8732288011
9731388010
10731344010
116222101008
12722379-28
1361416607
14714278-17
157214612-67
16712437-45
177115815-74
187115311-84
197025410-62
206015110-91
Premier League - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Assiouty Sport77001731421
2Al Ahly6510113816
3Zamalek SC751193616
4Al Ittihad641184413
5Coca-Cola7412129313
6Ceramica Cleopatra6402117412
7El Mokawloon7322106411
8Masr732288011
9National Bank of Egypt731388010
10Smouha SC731344010
11Petrojet6222101008
12AL Masry722379-28
13Olympic El Qanah61416607
14Wadi Degla714278-17
15El Geish7214612-67
16Asyut Petroleum712437-45
17Enppi7115815-74
18Abu Qair Semad7115311-84
19El Gouna FC7025410-62
20Ghazl El Mehalla6015110-91