Derby vs West Brom Prediction - September 9, 2026
Alternative:1-0
What is the prediction for Derby vs West Brom?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: West Brom are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
West Brom are unbeaten in two of their last three head-to-heads with Derby, and that recent edge sits behind Superior's projected scoreline for Derby vs West Brom in the Championship on 9 September: a 1-1 draw, with a 1-0 Derby win next in its distribution. West Brom arrive on their fourth match in a fortnight, though, a schedule squeeze that keeps the projection tight rather than one-sided.
Derby have not lost to West Brom in three meetings
Derby have won the last two head-to-heads before this season's 1-1 draw, but their current form (LWLDL) has leaked 10 goals in five matches, easily the shakier defensive record between the two. West Brom average 1.6 goals a game to Derby's 1.0, and arrive on their fourth match in a fortnight after a run that has still produced eight goals in five.
West Brom have scored eight goals in their last five
What would make a 1-1 look wrong is West Brom's attack, the more productive of the two sides this term, finding a way through a tired Derby defence rather than settling for a point. Derby's own leaky record gives them a route to more than a stalemate too, and a repeat of last season's 3-1 head-to-head win is the bigger risk to this draw.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.97
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More Championship Predictions
Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 23, 2026 | Derby | 1 - 1 | West Brom |
| September 13, 2025 | West Brom | 0 - 1 | Derby |
| April 21, 2025 | West Brom | 1 - 3 | Derby |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +6 | 11 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 5 | 5 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 6 | 5 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 | ||
| 8 | 5 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 9 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 5 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 5 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 14 | 5 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 15 | 5 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 16 | 5 | -1 | 5 | ||
| 17 | 5 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 18 | 5 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 19 | 5 | +5 | 4 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -5 | 4 | ||
| 21 | 5 | -5 | 4 | ||
| 22 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 23 | 5 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 24 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 11 | |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
| 3 | QPR | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
| 5 | West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| 6 | Charlton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 | |
| 7 | Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 | |
| 8 | West Ham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 8 | |
| 9 | Wolves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | |
| 10 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 12 | Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 | Stoke City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | |
| 16 | Blackburn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | |
| 17 | Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | |
| 18 | Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | |
| 19 | Southampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4 | |
| 20 | Derby | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | |
| 21 | Bolton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | |
| 22 | Cardiff | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | |
| 23 | Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | |
| 24 | Burnley | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
