Southampton vs Swansea Prediction - 8 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.27Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Southampton · last 5 games
Form
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- W 5-1
- L 1-4
- W 3-1
- D 0-0
- W 2-0
- W 3-0
- D 0-0
- W 2-1
Head to head
- 18 Apr 2026 Swansea 1 Southampton 2 Championship
- 18 Oct 2025 Southampton 0 Swansea 0 Championship
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Southampton have been part of a 5-1 and two more three-goal games in their last five, the run behind Superior's Over 1.5 pick for their home game with Swansea on 8 September at 1.27, rated 65 percent by the model. Swansea have matched a similar output on the road, so this total is backed by both sides rather than one alone.
Southampton have been part of a high-scoring game in four of five
Southampton's last five include a 5-1 win, a 1-4 defeat and two more results with three or more goals, only one 1-1 draw breaking the pattern. Swansea have been tighter at times, but even they have three wins to show in the same stretch, including a 3-0 and a 2-1.
One meeting finished 0-0, the other produced three goals
The last two meetings between these sides split evenly, a 0-0 draw and a 2-1 Southampton win, so head-to-head form alone does not settle it. What does is the raw scoring rate each side brings into this game, 2.2 for Southampton and 1.4 for Swansea, a combined 3.6 that clears this total on its own.
Swansea's own quiet nights are the risk to this total
Over 1.5 loses at zero or one total goal, a scoreline neither side has produced often, but Swansea did register a 0-0 draw and a 0-1 defeat within this run. If Swansea revert to that shape and Southampton's own finishing has a rare off night, the total can still finish short.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.0%Our score
- 2-19.5%Alternative
- 1-08.8%
- 2-07.6%
- 1-26.9%
Top five combined: 43.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Southampton win and over 2.5 goals32.1%
- Southampton win and both teams score25.0%
- Swansea win and over 2.5 goals17.4%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals16.2%
| Southampton | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 72.2% | 51.5% |
| Draw no bet | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Win to nil | 23.6% | 12.7% |
| Either team wins | 76.3% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 82.1% | 71.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 51.4% | 35.5% |
| Clean sheet | 28.7% | 17.9% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61
Formations
Confirmed formations
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +10 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | +8 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | +18 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | +9 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | +3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | +3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | +11 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | +3 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 | 11 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | 14 | |
| 17 | 12 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 | 11 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 | 11 | +1 | 11 | |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 | 11 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 | 11 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 11 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 | 11 | -15 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 25 | |
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 | |
| 3 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 22 | |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 | |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 | |
| 7 | Wolves | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 | |
| 8 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 | |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 17 | |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 | |
| 11 | Sheffield United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 15 | |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | |
| 17 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 | |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |