Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction - 7 September 2026

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.27Won

70%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 1-0
Under 3.5 goals: 5/5Vitoria · last 5 games

Form

Vitoria

L 0-2
L 1-2
L 0-1
L 0-2
W 1-0

Gremio

W 3-1
W 3-1
D 0-0
L 0-1
L 0-3

Head to head

19 Mar 2026 Gremio 2 Vitoria 0 Serie A
28 Sept 2025 Gremio 3 Vitoria 1 Serie A
27 Apr 2025 Vitoria 1 Gremio 1 Serie A

Bookmaker odds

2.16

3.40

3.38

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.32

Under 1.52.89

Over 2.52.12

Under 2.51.73

Over 3.53.54

Under 3.51.22

Both teams to score

Yes1.84

No1.86

Odd/Even

Odd1.85

Even1.83

Handicap

Home -0.251.84

Away +0.251.96

Methodology

Match analysis

Vitoria have lost four of their last five matches, three of them without scoring, and that collapse in form is central to Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick in Vitoria vs Gremio on 7 September, priced at 1.27 with 69 percent confidence. Vitoria's goals a game average has fallen to just 0.4.

Vitoria have been shut out in three of their last five matches

A side this blunt in front of goal, scoring just once across its last five matches, gives this total little help from the home end, and Gremio's away form has been similarly quiet: one win in five with 1.0 goals a game themselves. Their recent head to head meetings have also stayed low scoring, with two of the last three finishing with two goals or fewer between them.

Gremio scored three times in their most recent match

Gremio are not entirely toothless, having scored three times in their most recent match after a quieter run before it. If that finishing form travels and Vitoria's own defence, which has conceded in four of its last five matches, cannot keep a second clean sheet in a row, four total goals is within range.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.27
Goals: Under 2.5Won1.78
Correct score: 1-1Lost5.75

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-111.5%Our score
1-010.3%Alternative
2-19.6%
2-08.5%
0-17.0%

Top five combined: 46.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVitoriaxG1.66

AwayGremioxG1.12

6.2%

10%

8.5%

4.7%

2.0%

0.6%

0.2%

7.0%

12%

9.6%

5.3%

2.2%

0.7%

0.3%

3.9%

6.5%

5.4%

3.0%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

1.5%

2.4%

2.0%

1.1%

0.5%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.4%

0.7%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 54.6%45.4% No

Over 1.5 76.6%23.4% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 52.6%47.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 30.4%69.6% Under 3.5

Combos

Vitoria win and over 2.5 goals31.0%
Vitoria win and both teams score23.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.7%
Gremio win and over 2.5 goals14.9%

Outcome markets
	Vitoria	Gremio
Win or draw	74.2%	50.2%
Draw no bet	65.9%	34.1%
Win to nil	26.3%	12.9%
Either team wins	75.6%
Team goals
To score	80.9%	67.5%
Over 1.5 goals	49.3%	30.9%
Clean sheet	32.5%	19.1%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Vitoria vs Gremio

League table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56	22	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61	25	+36	67
3	Cruzeiro FC	32	16	6	10	51	46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50	38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50	41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42	35	+7	50
7	Bahia	31	13	10	8	44	39	+5	49
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	48	46	+2	45
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37	36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39	38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44	51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	-11	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39	45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35	46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37	45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36	40	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34	42	-8	33
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34	44	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34	50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32	63	-31	21

Relegation

Serie A - League table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56	22	34	69	WLWWW
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61	25	36	67	DDWWL
3	Cruzeiro FC	32	16	6	10	51	46	5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50	38	12	54	DWWWW
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50	41	9	51	DDDDL
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42	35	7	50	WDWLW
7	Bahia	31	13	10	8	44	39	5	49	DDDWW
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	48	46	2	45	DLWLL
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37	36	1	43	DLLDL
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39	38	1	41	DDWWW
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44	51	-7	39	WDWLD
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	-11	39	LDLLW
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39	45	-6	38	DLLLL
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35	46	-11	38	LLDWL
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37	45	-8	37	WDWLW
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36	40	-4	35	DLLLL
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34	42	-8	33	DDWWW
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34	44	-10	31	DLLWD
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34	50	-16	26	LWLWL
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32	63	-31	21

Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction - 7 September 2026

Form

Head to head

Bookmaker odds

Match analysis

Vitoria have been shut out in three of their last five matches

Gremio scored three times in their most recent match

More tips for this game

Premium

Top five correct scores

Goals and BTTS chances

Combos

League table