Estoril vs Arouca Prediction - 7 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
81%Odds 1.27Lost
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- L 1-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- W 4-0
- W 1-0
- L 0-3
- D 0-0
Head to head
- 6 Apr 2026 Arouca 3 Estoril 2 Primeira Liga
- 7 Nov 2025 Estoril 4 Arouca 3 Primeira Liga
Match analysis
Estoril and Arouca have combined for 14 goals across their last three meetings, and that history is a big part of why Superior takes Over 1.5 goals in Estoril vs Arouca on 7 September at 1.27, with 64 percent confidence. The most one-sided of those three finished 4-3 to Estoril.
These two have produced 14 goals in their last three meetings
An average of well over four goals a match in recent head to head play is a rare number, and it is backed up by Arouca's own current form: three wins in their last five and 1.4 goals a game on the road. Estoril have been much quieter at 0.6 a game themselves, but this fixture's history suggests goals tend to arrive from somewhere even when one side is struggling.
Estoril have not scored more than once in four of their last five
Estoril's own attack is the risk this bet is taking. They have not scored more than once in any of their last five matches and were shut out twice in that run. If Arouca's defence holds them scoreless and the away side themselves fail to add a second, a single goal is enough to sink this line, and Estoril's home form gives that scenario real weight even against a high scoring head to head record.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-110.8%Our score
- 2-19.1%Alternative
- 1-07.8%
- 1-27.5%
- 2-06.6%
Top five combined: 41.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Estoril win and over 2.5 goals30.3%
- Estoril win and both teams score24.3%
- Arouca win and over 2.5 goals20.8%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%
| Estoril | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 68.3% | 55.4% |
| Draw no bet | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Win to nil | 20.3% | 13.9% |
| Either team wins | 76.3% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 81.5% | 75.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 50.3% | 40.4% |
| Clean sheet | 24.9% | 18.5% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.63League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +16 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | +17 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | -5 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | 8 | -9 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | 8 | -9 | 4 | |
| 17 | 8 | -14 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | -8 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 24 | |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 19 | |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 | |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 | |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 | |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 | |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 | |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 | |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |