Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction - September 6, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.30
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Panathinaikos are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Four of the last five Athens derbies between Panathinaikos and PAOK have stayed under three combined goals, a pattern behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals price of 1.3 for their Greek Super League 1 meeting on 6 September, rated a 74 percent probability.
Four of the last five derbies stayed under three goals
Only one of the last five head to head meetings, a 2-2 draw in May, went above two total goals, with the other four settling at 0-0, 2-0, 0-1 and 2-0. Both sides are also carrying an identical schedule load into this one, three days' rest and four matches in the last fortnight each, which tends to keep a heated fixture more cautious than expansive.
That 2-2 draw shows the ceiling is there
LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. The most recent meeting between these two did clear this line, a 2-2 draw that shows the derby can open up when both attacks are sharp. PAOK have scored in four of their last five games, so if that recent shootout repeats rather than the tighter pattern of the four meetings before it, this total is beaten.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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2 selections at 2.07
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More Super League 1 Predictions
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Panathinaikos | 2 - 2 | PAOK |
| April 5, 2026 | PAOK | 0 - 0 | Panathinaikos |
| February 11, 2026 | PAOK | 2 - 0 | Panathinaikos |
| February 4, 2026 | Panathinaikos | 0 - 1 | PAOK |
| December 21, 2025 | PAOK | 2 - 0 | Panathinaikos |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +5 | 6 | ||
| 2 | 2 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 3 | 2 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 5 | 2 | +4 | 4 | ||
| 6 | 1 | +2 | 3 | ||
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 7 | 2 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 9 | 2 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 10 | 2 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 11 | 2 | -2 | 0 | ||
| 12 | 2 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 13 | 2 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 14 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 2 | Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 3 | OFI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | Aris Thessaloniki | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 4 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| 5 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 7 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 8 | Kifisia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | Volos NFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 10 | Iraklis 1908 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 11 | Atromitos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 12 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |