Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction - September 5, 2026

First LeagueBulgariaFull time
Spartak Varna
1:1
CSKA Sofia
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.38Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.65
Draw4.05
Away1.54

This line has not moved since it opened on Sep 2.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22
Under 1.53.48
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.51.95
Over 3.52.88
Under 3.51.32
Both teams to score
Yes1.86
No1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +11.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Away -11.87price falling, opened at 1.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CSKA Sofia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.5%Projected
  2. 1-18.3%Alternative
  3. 0-27.8%
  4. 1-37.3%
  5. 0-16.8%

Top five combined: 39.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSpartak VarnaxG1.22
AwayCSKA SofiaxG2.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.9%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.8%
8.3%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
2
7.8%
9.5%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
3
6.0%
7.3%
4.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
4
3.5%
4.2%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.6%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 63.4%36.6% No
Over 1.5 86.7%13.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 68.4%31.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.9%53.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Spartak Varna win and over 2.5 goals13.3%
Spartak Varna win and both teams score12.0%
CSKA Sofia win and over 2.5 goals47.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Spartak Varna or draw38.3%
CSKA Sofia or draw80.9%
Either team wins80.8%
Draw no bet: Spartak Varna23.6%
Draw no bet: CSKA Sofia76.4%
Spartak Varna win to nil7.0%
CSKA Sofia win to nil26.6%
Team goals
Spartak Varna to score70.4%
CSKA Sofia to score90.0%
Spartak Varna over 1.5 goals34.4%
CSKA Sofia over 1.5 goals67.0%
Spartak Varna clean sheet10.0%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet29.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 2.10

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

CSKA Sofia: 3-5-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
Head to Head

Head to Head

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 29, 2025Spartak Varna0 - 4CSKA Sofia
July 26, 2025CSKA Sofia1 - 1Spartak Varna
May 13, 2025CSKA Sofia5 - 0Spartak Varna
April 26, 2025Spartak Varna0 - 1CSKA Sofia
League Table

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18800214+1724
28620146+820
2330051+49
37520175+1217
48512158+716
58512137+616
683141114-310
782331014-49
88224713-68
9714276+17
108215717-107
118206410-66
128116817-94
137115714-74
147034814-63
Relegation
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Levski Sofia88002141724WWW
2Ludogorets8620146820WWW
2Ludogorets Razgrad33005149
3CSKA Sofia75201751217WWD
4CSKA 19488512158716WWD
5Arda Kardzhali8512137616LWD
6Botev Plovdiv83141114-310WLD
7Spartak Varna82331014-49WWD
8Septemvri Sofia8224713-68LLD
9Slavia Sofia71427617DLD
10Botev Vratsa8215717-107LLD
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv8206410-66LWL
12Cherno More Varna8116817-94LLD
13Dunav Ruse7115714-74LLL
14Lokomotiv Sofia7034814-63DLD