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Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction - 5 September 2026

ChampionshipEnglandFull time
Burnley
1-2
Bristol City

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

Odds 1.30Won

81%
Correct score
1-1
Alternative
2-1
Over 1.5 goals
4/5Burnley · last 5 games

Form

Burnley
  1. D 1-1
  2. L 1-4
  3. D 0-0
  4. L 1-3
  5. D 2-2
Bristol City
  1. W 3-1
  2. W 2-1
  3. D 2-2
  4. L 0-2
  5. L 0-1

Bookmaker odds

1Home
1.95
XDraw
3.55
2Away
3.67
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22
Under 1.53.54
Over 2.51.85
Under 2.51.92
Over 3.52.99
Under 3.51.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.70
No2.04
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.62
Away +0.252.05
Methodology
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Match highlights

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Match analysis

Burnley and Bristol City are combining for 2.4 goals a game this season, and four of Burnley's last five have finished with two goals or more, which is why Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at 1.3 for their Championship date on 5 September, priced at a 64 percent probability.

Four of Burnley's last five matches have produced two goals or more

Burnley's recent results read 1-4, 1-3, 2-2, 1-1 and 0-1, only the last one falling short of this line, and Bristol City's away form has been similarly open with three wins by two goals or more. Between them the two sides are averaging 2.4 goals a game, comfortably enough to clear 1.5 on the numbers alone.

The one meeting between these sides finished a tight 1-0

This loses only if the match produces one goal or none, and the single previous meeting between these clubs did exactly that, a 1-0 Burnley win last year. Burnley have also lost 0-1 at home this season. If either defence repeats that pattern instead of the more common open scoreline, the pick fails.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.30
Compare bookmakers

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-110.8%Our score
  2. 2-19.2%Alternative
  3. 1-07.9%
  4. 1-27.3%
  5. 2-06.8%

Top five combined: 42.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBurnleyxG1.72
AwayBristol CityxG1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.6%
7.9%
6.8%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
1
6.3%
11%
9.2%
5.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
2
4.3%
7.3%
6.3%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.9%
3.3%
2.8%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 60.9%39.1% No
Over 1.5 81.1%18.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 59.3%40.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.9%63.1% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Burnley win and over 2.5 goals31.2%
  2. Burnley win and both teams score24.9%
  3. Bristol City win and over 2.5 goals19.9%
  4. Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%
BurnleyBristol City
Outcome markets
Win or draw69.5%54.0%
Draw no bet60.1%39.9%
Win to nil21.1%13.4%
Either team wins76.4%
Team goals
To score82.0%74.3%
Over 1.5 goals51.1%39.3%
Clean sheet25.7%18.0%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Burnley vs Bristol City
League table

League table

ChampionshipEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1
Middlesbrough
127412717+1025
2
Swansea
11722168+823
3
West Ham
116413012+1822
4
Birmingham
115512011+920
5
West Brom
116231512+320
6
Stoke City
116141816+219
7
Wolves
115331916+318
8
Southampton
116322110+1117
9
QPR
114521512+317
10
Blackburn
114341716+115
11
Sheffield United
114341514+115
12
Millwall
114341818015
13
Portsmouth
114341414015
14
Wrexham
113531516-114
15
Bristol City
114251215-314
16
Charlton
113531015-514
17
Bolton
124261623-714
18
Lincoln
11335919-1012
19
Cardiff
112541817+111
20
Watford
113261019-911
21
Norwich
113081721-49
22
Burnley
111551621-58
23
Derby
11137920-116
24
Preston
11119924-154
Relegation
Championship - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Middlesbrough1274127171025
2Swansea11722168823
3West Ham1164130121822
4Birmingham115512011920
5West Brom116231512320
6Stoke City116141816219
7Wolves115331916318
8Southampton1163221101117
9QPR114521512317
10Blackburn114341716115
11Sheffield United114341514115
12Millwall114341818015
13Portsmouth114341414015
14Wrexham113531516-114
15Bristol City114251215-314
16Charlton113531015-514
17Bolton124261623-714
18Lincoln11335919-1012
19Cardiff112541817111
20Watford113261019-911
21Norwich113081721-49
22Burnley111551621-58
23Derby11137920-116
24Preston11119924-154