Arbroath vs Dunfermline Prediction - September 5, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.24
What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Arbroath are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
On 5 September, Arbroath and Dunfermline meet in the Scottish Championship for the sixth time in just over a year, and Superior has priced Under 3.5 goals at 1.24 for that rivalry, an 80 percent probability built on three of the previous five meetings finishing level or by a single goal.
Three of the last five meetings finished level or by a single goal
Arbroath and Dunfermline drew 0-0 in May and split single-goal results either side of that, with Arbroath's only comfortable win coming by two goals in December. Both attacks back up the tight recent history too, with Arbroath scoring 0.8 goals a game and Dunfermline just 0.6, and three of Arbroath's last five home games finished 1-0 or 0-0.
A repeat of September's 5-0 is the scoreline that beats this
The pick loses if this produces four goals or more, and that has happened before: Dunfermline won 5-0 in this fixture last September, and Arbroath's 4-2 win in February also crossed the line. Both results sit inside the same head-to-head record used above, so the recent tight games are not the only pattern on show.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksToday's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
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More Championship Predictions
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Arbroath | 0 - 0 | Dunfermline |
| May 5, 2026 | Dunfermline | 1 - 0 | Arbroath |
| February 21, 2026 | Arbroath | 4 - 2 | Dunfermline |
| December 6, 2025 | Dunfermline | 1 - 2 | Arbroath |
| September 13, 2025 | Arbroath | 0 - 5 | Dunfermline |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 7 | 4 | -1 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 9 | 4 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 10 | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 2 | Partick | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 4 | Arbroath | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 5 | Livingston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 6 | Ayr Utd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 7 | Dunfermline | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 | D |
| 8 | Inverness CT | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | D |
| 9 | Morton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | L |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | L |