Arbroath vs Dunfermline Prediction - 5 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
80%Odds 1.24Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
Form
- W 1-0
- W 2-1
- D 0-0
- L 0-2
- W 1-0
- W 1-0
- L 0-2
- L 1-2
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
Head to head
- 8 May 2026 Arbroath 0 Dunfermline 0 Premiership
- 5 May 2026 Dunfermline 1 Arbroath 0 Premiership
- 21 Feb 2026 Arbroath 4 Dunfermline 2 Championship
Match analysis
On 5 September, Arbroath and Dunfermline meet in the Scottish Championship for the sixth time in just over a year, and Superior has priced Under 3.5 goals at 1.24 for that rivalry, an 80 percent probability built on three of the previous five meetings finishing level or by a single goal.
Three of the last five meetings finished level or by a single goal
Arbroath and Dunfermline drew 0-0 in May and split single-goal results either side of that, with Arbroath's only comfortable win coming by two goals in December. Both attacks back up the tight recent history too, with Arbroath scoring 0.8 goals a game and Dunfermline just 0.6, and three of Arbroath's last five home games finished 1-0 or 0-0.
A repeat of September's 5-0 is the scoreline that beats this
The pick loses if this produces four goals or more, and that has happened before: Dunfermline won 5-0 in this fixture last September, and Arbroath's 4-2 win in February also crossed the line. Both results sit inside the same head-to-head record used above, so the recent tight games are not the only pattern on show.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.3%Our score
- 1-012.2%Alternative
- 0-111.1%
- 0-010.2%
- 2-17.9%
Top five combined: 54.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals23.5%
- Arbroath win and over 2.5 goals18.9%
- Dunfermline win and over 2.5 goals16.0%
- Arbroath win and both teams score14.9%
| Arbroath | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 66.8% | 61.7% |
| Draw no bet | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Win to nil | 23.4% | 20.1% |
| Either team wins | 71.5% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 69.7% | 66.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 33.5% | 29.7% |
| Clean sheet | 33.7% | 30.3% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.63
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +8 | 23 | ||
| 2 | 11 | +9 | 21 | ||
| 3 | 10 | +8 | 21 | ||
| 4 | 11 | +3 | 16 | ||
| 5 | 11 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 6 | 9 | +2 | 14 | ||
| 7 | 11 | -2 | 12 | ||
| 8 | 11 | -10 | 11 | ||
| 9 | 11 | -9 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 11 | -12 | 7 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 23 | D |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 21 | D |
| 3 | Partick | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 21 | W |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 | D |
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 14 | W |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 | D |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 | W |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 11 | L |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 | L |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 7 | L |