União Santarém vs Caldas Prediction - September 4, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
União Santarém
0:1
Caldas
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.15price rising, opened at 1.95
Draw3.13price falling, opened at 3.39
Away3.19price falling, opened at 3.82

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.33price falling, opened at 1.45
Under 1.52.83price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 2.52.08price falling, opened at 2.31
Under 2.51.65price rising, opened at 1.57
Over 3.53.58price falling, opened at 3.98
Under 3.51.21price falling, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.83price falling, opened at 2.21
No1.84price rising, opened at 1.62
Odd/Even
Odd1.84price falling, opened at 1.93
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.83price rising, opened at 1.68
Away +0.251.83price falling, opened at 2.12

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Caldas?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Caldas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • União Santarém and Caldas average 1.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.9%Projected
  2. 1-113.3%Alternative
  3. 0-011.7%
  4. 0-111.3%
  5. 2-08.2%

Top five combined: 58.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUnião SantarémxG1.18
AwayCaldasxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
14%
8.2%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
0.1%
1
11%
13%
7.9%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
5.4%
6.4%
3.8%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.7%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.8%57.2% No
Over 1.5 63.1%36.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 36.2%63.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.9%83.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

União Santarém win and over 2.5 goals18.8%
União Santarém win and both teams score14.4%
Caldas win and over 2.5 goals13.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
União Santarém or draw70.2%
Caldas or draw59.1%
Either team wins70.6%
Draw no bet: União Santarém57.9%
Draw no bet: Caldas42.1%
União Santarém win to nil26.5%
Caldas win to nil19.0%
Team goals
União Santarém to score69.3%
Caldas to score61.8%
União Santarém over 1.5 goals33.0%
Caldas over 1.5 goals25.0%
União Santarém clean sheet38.2%
Caldas clean sheet30.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: União Santarém vs Caldas
Head to Head

Head to Head

União Santarém vs Caldas: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
December 19, 2025Caldas0 - 2União Santarém
September 24, 2025União Santarém0 - 1Caldas
April 12, 2025Caldas0 - 1União Santarém
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330072+59
1330091+89
2320153+26
2321051+47
3312043+15
3320153+26
4311173+44
4312042+25
531114404
531115504
631112204
631112204
7311123-14
7311134-14
8301225-31
8310213-23
9301228-61
9301225-31
10300327-50
10301218-71
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Varzim33007259
1CF Os Belenenses33009189
2Paredes32015326
2Atlético CP32105147
3Oliveirense31204315
3AD Marco 0932015326
4Mafra31117344
4Fafe31204225
5Guimaraes B31114404
5Louletano31115504
6Vianense31112204
6Lusitano Évora 191131112204
7SC Covilha311123-14
7Leça311134-14
8Caldas301225-31
8Trofense310213-23
9Vitória de Sernache301228-61
9São João Ver301225-31
10Pacos Ferreira300327-50
10União Santarém301218-71