Naft Maysan vs Newroz Prediction - September 4, 2026

Iraqi LeagueIraqFull time
Naft Maysan
0:2
Newroz
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 2.51.57Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.57price falling, opened at 2.66
Draw2.99price rising, opened at 2.98
Away2.57price rising, opened at 2.49

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price falling, opened at 1.38
Under 1.53.05price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 2.51.98price falling, opened at 2.27
Under 2.51.72price rising, opened at 1.55
Over 3.53.34price falling, opened at 4.20
Under 3.51.24price rising, opened at 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes1.73price falling, opened at 1.91
No1.95price rising, opened at 1.77
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.76price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home +01.84price falling, opened at 1.90
Away +01.83price rising, opened at 1.78

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Naft Maysan vs Newroz?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Newroz are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Naft Maysan are averaging just 0.2 goals a game themselves this season, the lowest number on the board, and that blunt attack sits behind Superior's projected 1-1 in Naft Maysan vs Newroz on 4 September, with 0-1 rated the alternative. Both sides are already safe with nothing riding on the season's final day.

Naft Maysan have scored one goal in their last five games combined

A single goal across five matches, in a 1-1 draw, is the entirety of Naft Maysan's recent scoring, either side of heavy defeats including a 0-4. Newroz have been only slightly livelier, drawing three of their own last five, and with both sides safe on the final day, a low-key, low-event finish fits the mood of a match with nothing to play for.

Newroz have already produced one high-scoring draw this run

Newroz's 3-3 draw is the one match in this run where goals came from everywhere, proof a truly blunt-looking side can still be part of an open game. A dead-rubber final day can also go either way, and if either defense has a sloppy afternoon instead of the discipline both have generally shown, the model's tight 1-1 projection could be beaten by a much higher-scoring finish.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.2%Projected
  2. 0-111.6%Alternative
  3. 1-010.9%
  4. 0-09.6%
  5. 1-27.9%

Top five combined: 53.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNaft MaysanxG1.13
AwayNewrozxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.6%
11%
6.2%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
7.0%
7.9%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.8%
3.2%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.5%52.5% No
Over 1.5 67.8%32.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 41.4%58.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 20.8%79.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Naft Maysan win and over 2.5 goals17.1%
Naft Maysan win and both teams score13.9%
Newroz win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Naft Maysan or draw62.3%
Newroz or draw65.7%
Either team wins71.9%
Draw no bet: Naft Maysan47.6%
Draw no bet: Newroz52.4%
Naft Maysan win to nil20.4%
Newroz win to nil22.5%
Team goals
Naft Maysan to score67.8%
Newroz to score70.0%
Naft Maysan over 1.5 goals31.4%
Newroz over 1.5 goals33.9%
Naft Maysan clean sheet30.0%
Newroz clean sheet32.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Naft Maysan vs Newroz
League Table

League Table

Iraqi LeagueIraq · 2025/2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13827836228+3489
23824866932+3780
338231055932+2779
438171565032+1866
538171475326+2765
638181195338+1565
7381612105141+1060
838166164847+154
9381411134945+453
10381311144445-150
11381310154042-249
12381115123334-148
13381114134649-347
14381111164043-344
15381110174857-943
1638913163847-940
1737115214456-1238
1838107214768-2137
193765263168-3723
203806322196-756
Champions LeagueRelegation
Iraqi League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362283489WWWWL
2Al Shorta38248669323780DWLWW
3Erbil382310559322779WWWLW
4Al Zawra'a381715650321866LLLDW
5Al-Karma381714753262765WWDDW
6Al Talaba381811953381565DDDLD
7Al Karkh3816121051411060DLWDW
8Newroz38166164847154LDWWL
9Zakho381411134945453LLDLD
10Duhok381311144445-150LLDDW
11Diyala381310154042-249WLLLW
12Naft381115123334-148WWDDL
13Mosul381114134649-347WDLDD
14Gharraf381111164043-344LWDDL
15Naft Maysan381110174857-943WLWWD
16Al Minaa Basra38913163847-940DDDWD
17Al Kahrabaa37115214456-1238LWDWW
18Baghdad38107214768-2137LLWLL
19Al Najaf3765263168-3723WWLLD
20Al-Qasim3806322196-756LLLDL