FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction - September 4, 2026

Challenge LeagueSwitzerlandFull time
FC Winterthur
4:0
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.70Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.95price falling, opened at 1.96
Draw3.65price falling, opened at 3.68
Away3.19price rising, opened at 3.15

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.10price rising, opened at 1.09
Under 1.55.15price falling, opened at 5.25
Over 2.51.41price rising, opened at 1.40
Under 2.52.52price falling, opened at 2.56
Over 3.52.09price rising, opened at 2.04
Under 3.51.66price falling, opened at 1.69
Both teams to score
Yes1.40price rising, opened at 1.39
No2.70price falling, opened at 2.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.71price falling, opened at 1.72
Away +0.251.97price rising, opened at 1.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Winterthur are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.1%Projected
  2. 1-18.3%Alternative
  3. 3-16.7%
  4. 2-26.6%
  5. 2-06.3%

Top five combined: 37.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC WinterthurxG2.21
AwayNeuchatel Xamax FCxG1.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
5.7%
6.3%
4.7%
2.6%
1.1%
0.6%
1
3.7%
8.3%
9.1%
6.7%
3.7%
1.6%
0.9%
2
2.7%
6.0%
6.6%
4.9%
2.7%
1.2%
0.6%
3
1.3%
2.9%
3.2%
2.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.5%
1.0%
1.1%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.0%32.0% No
Over 1.5 87.9%12.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.6%29.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.6%50.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Winterthur win and over 2.5 goals42.9%
FC Winterthur win and both teams score33.9%
Neuchatel Xamax FC win and over 2.5 goals18.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FC Winterthur or draw75.2%
Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw45.1%
Either team wins79.7%
Draw no bet: FC Winterthur68.9%
Draw no bet: Neuchatel Xamax FC31.1%
FC Winterthur win to nil21.0%
Neuchatel Xamax FC win to nil8.4%
Team goals
FC Winterthur to score89.0%
Neuchatel Xamax FC to score76.4%
FC Winterthur over 1.5 goals64.8%
Neuchatel Xamax FC over 1.5 goals42.3%
FC Winterthur clean sheet23.6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC clean sheet11.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
League Table

League Table

Challenge LeagueSwitzerland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16420113+814
26330106+412
36312106+410
46231127+59
563039909
662226608
76222810-28
86123916-75
96114813-54
106024411-72
Relegation
Challenge League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy6420113814DW
2Yverdon Sport6330106412DD
3SC Kriens6312106410WL
4FC Winterthur623112759LD
5Neuchatel Xamax FC63039909WW
6Étoile Carouge62226608DW
7FC Aarau6222810-28DL
8FC WIL 19006123916-75LW
9Rapperswil6114813-54WL
10Stade Nyonnais6024411-72LL