Toulouse vs Lille Prediction - September 3, 2026

Ligue 1FranceFull time
Toulouse
0:1
Lille
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.10price rising, opened at 3.46
Draw3.54price rising, opened at 3.38
Away1.90price falling, opened at 2.13

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.62price rising, opened at 3.14
Over 2.51.84price falling, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.96price rising, opened at 1.79
Over 3.52.98price falling, opened at 3.40
Under 3.51.35price rising, opened at 1.26
Both teams to score
Yes1.71price falling, opened at 1.79
No2.04price rising, opened at 1.94
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.751.68
Away -0.752.08

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Lille?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lille are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Toulouse and Lille average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 0-111.5%Alternative
  3. 1-29.1%
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 0-28.4%

Top five combined: 49.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeToulousexG1.08
AwayLillexG1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
8.4%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
11%
12%
6.7%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.4%
9.1%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
4.1%
4.5%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.9%49.1% No
Over 1.5 72.3%27.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.9%53.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.4%74.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Toulouse win and over 2.5 goals14.9%
Toulouse win and both teams score12.7%
Lille win and over 2.5 goals26.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Toulouse or draw53.9%
Lille or draw72.1%
Either team wins73.9%
Draw no bet: Toulouse37.7%
Draw no bet: Lille62.3%
Toulouse win to nil15.2%
Lille win to nil26.1%
Team goals
Toulouse to score66.1%
Lille to score77.0%
Toulouse over 1.5 goals29.4%
Lille over 1.5 goals43.2%
Toulouse clean sheet23.0%
Lille clean sheet33.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Toulouse: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Head to Head

Head to Head

Toulouse vs Lille: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 12, 2026Toulouse0 - 4Lille
September 14, 2025Lille2 - 1Toulouse
April 12, 2025Toulouse1 - 2Lille
League Table

League Table

Ligue 1France · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1321052+37
2220030+36
3211030+34
4211031+24
5211054+14
6211021+14
7210164+23
8210142+23
921013303
10210125-33
1120204402
1220204402
13201145-11
14201112-11
15201112-11
16301225-31
17201103-31
18200238-50
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Ligue 1 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lille32105237
2Monaco22003036
3Paris FC21103034
4Lyon21103124
5Rennes21105414
6Estac Troyes21102114
7Lens21016423
8Marseille21014223
9Angers21013303
10Strasbourg210125-33
11Stade Brestois 2920204402
12Paris Saint Germain20204402
13Le Mans201145-11
14Lorient201112-11
15Le Havre201112-11
16Toulouse301225-31
17Nice201103-31
18Auxerre200238-50