Mantova vs Palermo Prediction - September 3, 2026

Coppa ItaliaItalyFull time
Mantova
5:2
Palermo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.43Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.60price falling, opened at 4.86
Draw3.50price falling, opened at 3.94
Away2.04price rising, opened at 1.63

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price rising, opened at 1.19
Under 1.53.50price falling, opened at 3.76
Over 2.51.84price rising, opened at 1.75
Under 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.02
Over 3.52.88price rising, opened at 2.74
Under 3.51.32price falling, opened at 1.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.66price falling, opened at 1.74
No2.09price rising, opened at 1.98
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +0.252.06
Away -0.251.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Mantova vs Palermo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Mantova are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.3%Projected
  2. 1-19.1%Alternative
  3. 2-26.6%
  4. 0-26.6%
  5. 2-16.5%

Top five combined: 38.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMantovaxG1.42
AwayPalermoxG2.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
4.5%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
1
6.4%
9.1%
6.5%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.6%
9.3%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
4.5%
6.3%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
2.3%
3.2%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.9%34.1% No
Over 1.5 85.9%14.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.1%32.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 45.4%54.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Mantova win and over 2.5 goals19.0%
Mantova win and both teams score16.8%
Palermo win and over 2.5 goals39.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Mantova or draw48.0%
Palermo or draw73.4%
Either team wins78.6%
Draw no bet: Mantova33.9%
Draw no bet: Palermo66.1%
Mantova win to nil9.9%
Palermo win to nil21.1%
Team goals
Mantova to score75.7%
Palermo to score87.0%
Mantova over 1.5 goals41.4%
Palermo over 1.5 goals60.4%
Mantova clean sheet13.0%
Palermo clean sheet24.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Mantova: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Mantova vs Palermo
Head to Head

Head to Head

Mantova vs Palermo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 4, 2026Palermo2 - 1Mantova