Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle Prediction - September 3, 2026

Liga ProEcuadorFull time
Barcelona SC
2:1
Independiente del Valle
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.34Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.32price rising, opened at 3.19
Draw3.32price rising, opened at 3.15
Away2.14price falling, opened at 2.27

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price falling, opened at 1.33
Under 1.53.08price rising, opened at 2.90
Over 2.51.98price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 2.51.77price rising, opened at 1.71
Over 3.53.31price falling, opened at 3.52
Under 3.51.26price rising, opened at 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes1.76price falling, opened at 1.80
No1.94price rising, opened at 1.89
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.88
Even1.80price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home +0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.84
Away -0.251.80price falling, opened at 1.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Independiente del Valle are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Barcelona SC and Independiente del Valle average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.0%Projected
  2. 1-29.6%Alternative
  3. 0-19.2%
  4. 0-28.0%
  5. 2-16.6%

Top five combined: 44.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBarcelona SCxG1.20
AwayIndependiente del VallexG1.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.3%
6.3%
3.8%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.2%
11%
6.6%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
8.0%
9.6%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
3
4.7%
5.6%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.0%
2.4%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.7%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.7%42.3% No
Over 1.5 79.3%20.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.5%43.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.1%65.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Barcelona SC win and over 2.5 goals16.1%
Barcelona SC win and both teams score14.0%
Independiente del Valle win and over 2.5 goals33.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Barcelona SC or draw49.8%
Independiente del Valle or draw73.8%
Either team wins76.4%
Draw no bet: Barcelona SC34.3%
Draw no bet: Independiente del Valle65.7%
Barcelona SC win to nil12.2%
Independiente del Valle win to nil24.9%
Team goals
Barcelona SC to score69.9%
Independiente del Valle to score82.6%
Barcelona SC over 1.5 goals33.7%
Independiente del Valle over 1.5 goals52.1%
Barcelona SC clean sheet17.4%
Independiente del Valle clean sheet30.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Team news

Confirmed formations

Barcelona SC: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Independiente del Valle: 4-1-4-1(confirmed lineup)
Head to Head

Head to Head

Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 10, 2026Independiente del Valle1 - 0Barcelona SC
December 21, 2025Independiente del Valle1 - 0Barcelona SC
October 5, 2025Barcelona SC0 - 3Independiente del Valle
July 6, 2025Independiente del Valle1 - 1Barcelona SC
May 28, 2025Independiente del Valle2 - 1Barcelona SC
League Table

League Table

Liga ProEcuador · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12722236628+3868
22814683930+948
32714583126+547
42712874725+2244
528126102722+542
62710982822+639
72891093334-137
9279992730-336
9238692426-230
102798102930-135
112798102332-932
122795132335-1232
132786133141-1030
142892172639-1329
152876151829-1127
162855181741-2420
Relegation
Liga Pro - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Independiente del Valle27222366283868WWWWW
2Macara2814683930948WWWLW
3Aucas2714583126547WLLWL
4Universidad Catolica27128747252244WDWWW
5LDU de Quito28126102722542WDLLD
6Barcelona SC2710982822639DLLWD
7Mushuc Runa SC2891093334-137WLDWL
9Guayaquil City FC279992730-336LDDWD
9Libertad238692426-230WWWLW
10Leones del Norte2798102930-135DWDWD
11Emelec2798102332-932LLDLW
12Deportivo Cuenca2795132335-1232LWLLD
13Orense SC2786133141-1030LLWLL
14Tecnico Universitario2892172639-1329LWLLL
15Delfin SC2876151829-1127LLWWL
16Manta FC2855181741-2420LLDLL