Wanderers vs Albion FC Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
75%Odds 1.30
Picked at 1.30 · now 1.29
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Albion FC?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Albion FC are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Albion FC sit in Uruguay's relegation fight with one win from their last five, and their attack has produced four goals in that run. Superior's model gives Under 3.5 goals a 75 percent chance in Wanderers vs Albion FC on 28 September, and the price is 1.30, with a 1-1 as the correct score.
Four goals in five games for each side
Wanderers have also scored exactly four in their last five, so both teams average 0.8 a game and the two rates added together come to 1.6, less than half of the 3.5 line. Superior's expected goals start from that measured scoring and conceding and are checked against the league baseline, so a short run cannot swing them too far. The two meetings this year, both at Albion, finished 0-0 in May and 2-1 to Albion in March.
Wanderers have conceded seven goals in their last two defeats
Wanderers lost 4-1 at Deportivo Maldonado on 9 September and 3-1 at home to Cerrito on 23 September, and Albion shipped three at Peñarol and three against Juventud. If the Wanderers defence repeats either of those nights and Albion find a goal, a 3-1 or 2-2 is enough to beat the Under.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Albion FC | 0 - 0 | Wanderers |
| 25 March 2026 | Albion FC | 2 - 1 | Wanderers |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +23 | 55 | ||
| 2 | 28 | +19 | 53 | ||
| 3 | 30 | +12 | 53 | ||
| 4 | 15 | +7 | 27 | ||
| 4 | 29 | +17 | 52 | ||
| 5 | 30 | +7 | 49 | ||
| 6 | 29 | +1 | 44 | ||
| 7 | 29 | +10 | 43 | ||
| 8 | 29 | -6 | 38 | ||
| 9 | 29 | -4 | 35 | ||
| 10 | 29 | -1 | 34 | ||
| 11 | 30 | -6 | 33 | ||
| 12 | 29 | -8 | 32 | ||
| 13 | 29 | -20 | 32 | ||
| 14 | 29 | -12 | 30 | ||
| 15 | 30 | -18 | 28 | ||
| 16 | 29 | -14 | 26 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol Montevideo | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 55 | |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 53 | WLDDD |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 52 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 | LDWLW |
| 6 | Wanderers | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 43 | DWLDW |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 38 | DLDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 35 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 33 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 32 | LDDDL |
| 13 | Cerro | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Boston River | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Progreso | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 16 | Danubio | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 26 | DLDDD |