Criciuma vs Avai Prediction - 27 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
74%Odds 1.30Won
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Avai?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Criciuma are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Avai are in the Serie B relegation fight and have scored three goals in five games, and Superior's pick for Criciuma vs Avai on 27 September is Under 3.5 goals. At 1.3, the model rates the pick at 74 percent.
Four Criciuma vs Avai meetings, none above three goals
Neither side is scoring much. Both average 0.6 goals a game over their last five, and Criciuma have failed to score in three of those games. Avai have lost four of their last five, three of them by a single goal. Superior's model builds each side's scoring rate from what it scores and concedes, then prices every score on a grid. The last four meetings finished 2-1, 2-1, 1-1 and 2-1, all under the line.
Criciuma lost 4-0 at Atletico Goianiense on 13 September
That result alone beats this line, and Avai lost 3-1 at Novorizontino a week earlier, another four-goal game. Criciuma have lost four of their last five as well. Four goals in any form, 3-1, 2-2 or 4-0, loses the bet.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-0
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-014.8%Our score
- 1-112.8%Alternative
- 0-09.5%
- 2-19.2%
- 2-09.2%
Top five combined: 55.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May 2026 | Avai | 1 - 2 | Criciuma |
| 11 January 2026 | Criciuma | 2 - 1 | Avai |
| 19 October 2025 | Avai | 1 - 1 | Criciuma |
| 27 June 2025 | Criciuma | 1 - 2 | Avai |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +12 | 54 | ||
| 2 | 30 | +22 | 51 | ||
| 3 | 29 | +9 | 51 | ||
| 4 | 29 | +12 | 50 | ||
| 5 | 30 | +10 | 49 | ||
| 6 | 30 | +5 | 48 | ||
| 7 | 29 | +1 | 47 | ||
| 8 | 29 | +1 | 45 | ||
| 9 | 30 | +8 | 44 | ||
| 10 | 29 | +8 | 43 | ||
| 11 | 30 | -6 | 42 | ||
| 12 | 30 | +9 | 42 | ||
| 13 | 30 | +1 | 41 | ||
| 14 | 29 | +3 | 41 | ||
| 15 | 30 | -6 | 36 | ||
| 16 | 29 | -4 | 32 | ||
| 17 | 29 | -8 | 30 | ||
| 18 | 30 | -4 | 28 | ||
| 19 | 29 | -28 | 17 | ||
| 20 | 29 | -45 | 13 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 54 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 51 | WLLLW |
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 51 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 50 | WLWWD |
| 5 | Atletico Goianiense | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 49 | WWDWL |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 48 | LWDWW |
| 7 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 47 | DWWWW |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 45 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 44 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 42 | LDWDW |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 41 | DWDDL |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | LWDDW |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 62 | -45 | 13 | DLLLL |