Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction - 26 September 2026

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

76%Odds 1.22Won

Correct score1-1Alternative0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home3.73

Draw3.15

Away1.92

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.38

Under 1.52.63

Over 2.52.20

Under 2.51.57

Over 3.54.00

Under 3.51.17

Both teams to score

Yes1.97

No1.73

Odd/Even

Odd1.84

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +0.252.04

Away -0.251.66

What is the prediction for Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 0-1. Progreso are in better form heading into this match.

Why this prediction

Progreso and Racing Montevideo average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.63
Correct score: 1-1Lost5.50
Correct score: 0-1Lost5.80

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-113.5%Our score
0-114.2%Alternative
0-012.1%
1-010.6%
1-28.2%

Top five combined: 58.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeProgresoxG0.89

AwayRacing MontevideoxG1.28

0

1

2

3

4

5

6+

0

12%

11%

5.0%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

1

14%

14%

6.5%

1.9%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

2

8.1%

8.2%

3.9%

1.3%

0.3%

<0.1%

<0.1%

3

3.1%

3.0%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

4

1.0%

0.9%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

5

0.2%

0.2%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

6+

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 43.5%56.5% No

Over 1.5 63.1%36.9% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 36.5%63.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 17.2%82.8% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Progreso win and over 2.5 goals12.9%

Progreso win and both teams score10.8%

Racing Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals19.3%

Draw and under 2.5 goals25.6%

Outcome markets

Progreso or draw58.5%

Racing Montevideo or draw71.5%

Either team wins70.0%

Draw no bet: Progreso40.8%

Draw no bet: Racing Montevideo59.2%

Progreso win to nil17.7%

Racing Montevideo win to nil26.7%

Team goals

Progreso to score61.2%

Racing Montevideo to score70.2%

Progreso over 1.5 goals24.7%

Racing Montevideo over 1.5 goals33.5%

Progreso clean sheet29.8%

Racing Montevideo clean sheet38.8%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Progreso: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Progreso vs Racing Montevideo

Head to Head

Head to Head

Racing Montevideo

Racing Montevideo

29 September 2025

Racing Montevideo

Racing Montevideo

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
26 March 2026	Racing Montevideo	1 - 1	Progreso
29 September 2025	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Progreso
22 June 2025	Racing Montevideo	3 - 0	Progreso
30 March 2025	Progreso	0 - 1	Racing Montevideo

League Table

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	+23	55
2	Atletico Torque	28	16	5	7	51	32	+19	53
3	Racing Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36	24	+12	53
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	+7	27
4	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	+17	52
5	Club Nacional	30	15	4	11	45	38	+7	49
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	+1	44
7	Liverpool Montevideo	29	11	10	8	37	27	+10	43
8	Central Espanol	29	10	8	11	31	37	-6	38
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34
11	Cerro Largo	30	8	9	13	28	34	-6	33
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30
15	Progreso	30	8	4	18	25	43	-18	28
16	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26

Primera División - Apertura - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	23	55
2	Atletico Torque	28	16	5	7	51	32	19	53	LWWLW
3	Racing Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36	24	12	53	WLDDD
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	7	27	WWDWL
4	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	17	52	DLDWW
5	Club Nacional	30	15	4	11	45	38	7	49	LDWLW
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	1	44	WWWDW
7	Liverpool Montevideo	29	11	10	8	37	27	10	43	DWLDW
8	Central Espanol	29	10	8	11	31	37	-6	38	DLDDW
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35	DWLDL
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34	DLDWL
11	Cerro Largo	30	8	9	13	28	34	-6	33	LWDDW
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32	LDDDL
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32	WWLLW
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30	LLDDL
15	Progreso	30	8	4	18	25	43	-18	28	WLLWL
16	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26	DLDDD