Sao Paulo vs Internacional Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.92

Draw3.30

Away4.38

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.34

Under 1.52.78

Over 2.52.23

Under 2.51.66

Over 3.53.92

Under 3.51.18

Both teams to score

Yes1.97

No1.75

Odd/Even

Odd1.89

Even1.79

Handicap

Home -0.752.09

Away +0.751.60

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Internacional?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sao Paulo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 17, 2026, 00:02 UTCModel CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Serie A: São Paulo FC vs InternacionalTNT Sports BrasilUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Only two places and five points separate Sao Paulo from Internacional at the wrong end of Brazil's Serie A table, and Superior's model expects that gap to show on 20 September at 1-0, with 1-1 next in line. Internacional sit 18th with 11 games left to beat the drop.

One win in five for a side fighting the drop

Internacional have won just one of their last five matches, a 2-1 trip to Chapecoense sandwiched between league defeats to Santos, Gremio and Bahia, and they sit 18th in Brazil's Serie A on 28 points with 11 games left to beat the drop. Sao Paulo have their own relegation worries at 11th on 33 points, but they're unbeaten in their last three matches at home, with wins over Atletico-MG (2-0) and RB Bragantino (2-1) either side of a draw with Boca Juniors, enough home form for the model to lean toward a home goal standing up.

A repeat of April's 1-1 has happened before

The last three meetings between these sides have gone 1-1, 3-0 and 1-2, so history offers no fixed pattern here. Internacional's only win in five came with two goals, and if Sao Paulo's own defence slips the way it did in Sunday's 0-2 loss at Palmeiras, the 1-1 that Superior lists as the alternative becomes the more likely outcome instead of a clean 1-0.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-012.3%Our score
1-112.8%Alternative
2-110.0%
2-08.8%
0-18.3%

Top five combined: 52.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSao PauloxG1.41

AwayInternacionalxG0.99

8.0%

12%

8.8%

4.4%

1.7%

0.5%

0.2%

8.3%

13%

10.0%

4.5%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

3.9%

6.5%

4.7%

2.5%

0.8%

0.2%

<0.1%

1.3%

1.9%

1.5%

0.8%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

0.3%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.1%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.2%49.8% No

Over 1.5 71.4%28.6% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 45.9%54.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 23.8%76.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sao Paulo win and over 2.5 goals27.4%

Sao Paulo win and both teams score20.7%

Internacional win and over 2.5 goals13.0%

Draw and under 2.5 goals20.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Sao Paulo or draw74.8%

Internacional or draw51.5%

Either team wins73.7%

Draw no bet: Sao Paulo65.8%

Draw no bet: Internacional34.2%

Sao Paulo win to nil27.8%

Internacional win to nil14.0%

Team goals

Sao Paulo to score78.0%

Internacional to score64.2%

Sao Paulo over 1.5 goals44.0%

Internacional over 1.5 goals26.5%

Sao Paulo clean sheet35.8%

Internacional clean sheet22.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Team news

Expected formations

Sao Paulo: 4-4-2(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Sao Paulo vs Internacional

Head to Head

Sao Paulo vs Internacional: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 1, 2026	Internacional	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
December 3, 2025	Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Internacional
August 3, 2025	Internacional	1 - 2	Sao Paulo

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	27	17	6	4	53	22	+31	57
2	Palmeiras	27	16	8	3	47	21	+26	56
3	Atletico Paranaense	27	13	7	7	41	31	+10	46
4	Bahia	27	12	10	5	42	33	+9	46
5	Fluminense	27	12	9	6	41	35	+6	45
6	Cruzeiro FC	27	12	6	9	39	39	0	42
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	39	-2	38
10	RB Bragantino	26	10	6	10	32	29	+3	36
11	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
12	Sao Paulo	27	9	7	11	31	30	+1	34
13	Vitoria	27	9	6	12	27	39	-12	33
14	Corinthians	27	8	8	11	28	29	-1	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	30	41	-11	31
17	Internacional	28	6	11	11	30	35	-5	29
18	Gremio	27	7	7	13	30	38	-8	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Relegation

Serie A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Flamengo	27	17	6	4	53	22	31	57	DDWWL
2	Palmeiras	27	16	8	3	47	21	26	56	WLWWW
3	Atletico Paranaense	27	13	7	7	41	31	10	46	DWWWW
4	Bahia	27	12	10	5	42	33	9	46	DDDWW
5	Fluminense	27	12	9	6	41	35	6	45	DDDDL
6	Cruzeiro FC	27	12	6	9	39	39	0	42
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30	WLWDW
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	4	40	WDWLW
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	1	38	DLWLL
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	39	-2	38	LDLLW
10	RB Bragantino	26	10	6	10	32	29	3	36	DDWWW
11	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35	WDWLD
12	Sao Paulo	27	9	7	11	31	30	1	34	DLLDL
13	Vitoria	27	9	6	12	27	39	-12	33	LLDWL
14	Corinthians	27	8	8	11	28	29	-1	32	DDWWW
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32	WDWLW
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	30	41	-11	31	DLLLL
17	Internacional	28	6	11	11	30	35	-5	29	DLLLL
18	Gremio	27	7	7	13	30	38	-8	28	DLLWD
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23	LWLWL
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Sao Paulo vs Internacional Prediction - September 20, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Internacional?

Match highlights

Match analysis

One win in five for a side fighting the drop

A repeat of April's 1-1 has happened before

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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More Serie A Predictions

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table