Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction - September 20, 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Gremio
0:0
Palmeiras
Correct scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.34Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.12
Draw3.62
Away1.87

This line has not moved since it opened on Sep 18.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25
Under 1.53.28
Over 2.51.91price falling, opened at 1.92
Under 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.88
Over 3.53.08
Under 3.51.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.77
No1.95
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +0.751.66price rising, opened at 1.65
Away -0.751.99price falling, opened at 2.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Gremio vs Palmeiras?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Palmeiras are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Gremio and Palmeiras average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-112.4%Our score
  2. 1-112.8%Alternative
  3. 1-29.2%
  4. 0-28.7%
  5. 0-08.6%

Top five combined: 51.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGremioxG0.94
AwayPalmeirasxG1.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.6%
8.5%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
12%
13%
6.6%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
2
8.7%
9.2%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
4.2%
4.0%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.4%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.8%51.2% No
Over 1.5 70.6%29.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.6%55.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.8%77.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Gremio win and over 2.5 goals14.2%
Gremio win and both teams score11.8%
Palmeiras win and over 2.5 goals24.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Gremio or draw54.2%
Palmeiras or draw72.8%
Either team wins73.1%
Draw no bet: Gremio37.3%
Draw no bet: Palmeiras62.7%
Gremio win to nil15.4%
Palmeiras win to nil27.2%
Team goals
Gremio to score64.2%
Palmeiras to score76.0%
Gremio over 1.5 goals27.9%
Palmeiras over 1.5 goals41.3%
Gremio clean sheet24.0%
Palmeiras clean sheet35.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Team news

Expected formations

Gremio: 4-1-4-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Gremio vs Palmeiras
Head to Head

Head to Head

Gremio vs Palmeiras: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 3, 2026Palmeiras2 - 1Gremio
November 26, 2025Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
July 27, 2025Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
League Table

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12717645322+3157
22716834721+2656
32713774131+1046
427121054233+946
52712964135+645
62712693939042
7218672730-330
72711793632+440
82710894140+138
928108103739-238
1026106103229+336
112898114145-435
122797113130+134
132796122739-1233
142788112829-132
152888123342-932
162787123041-1131
1728611113035-529
182777133038-828
192858153247-1523
202739152953-2418
202017121941-2210
Relegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Flamengo27176453223157DDWWL
2Palmeiras27168347212656WLWWW
3Atletico Paranaense27137741311046DWWWW
4Bahia27121054233946DDDWW
5Fluminense2712964135645DDDDL
6Cruzeiro FC2712693939042
7Cruzeiro218672730-330WLWDW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440WDWLW
8Santos2710894140138DLWLL
9Coritiba28108103739-238LDLLW
10RB Bragantino26106103229336DDWWW
11Botafogo2898114145-435WDWLD
12Sao Paulo2797113130134DLLDL
13Vitoria2796122739-1233LLDWL
14Corinthians2788112829-132DDWWW
15Mirassol2888123342-932WDWLW
16Vasco DA Gama2787123041-1131DLLLL
17Internacional28611113035-529DLLLL
18Gremio2777133038-828DLLWD
19Remo2858153247-1523LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
20Chapecoense B2017121941-2210