Danubio vs Wanderers Prediction - September 20, 2026

Primera División - AperturaUruguayFull time
Danubio
1:1
Wanderers
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.14price rising, opened at 2.10
Draw3.06price rising, opened at 3.04
Away3.21price falling, opened at 3.33

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.35price falling, opened at 1.38
Under 1.52.74price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 2.52.18price falling, opened at 2.28
Under 2.51.58price rising, opened at 1.53
Over 3.54.10price falling, opened at 4.33
Under 3.51.16price rising, opened at 1.14
Both teams to score
Yes1.89price falling, opened at 1.95
No1.80price rising, opened at 1.74
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.81price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.83price rising, opened at 1.80
Away +0.251.83price falling, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Wanderers?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Wanderers are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Danubio and Wanderers average 1.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.6%Our score
  2. 1-013.5%Alternative
  3. 0-011.4%
  4. 0-110.9%
  5. 2-18.4%

Top five combined: 57.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDanubioxG1.11
AwayWanderersxG1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
14%
7.6%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
11%
14%
8.4%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
5.3%
6.6%
4.4%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.8%
2.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.0%55.0% No
Over 1.5 64.2%35.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 37.7%62.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.1%81.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Danubio win and over 2.5 goals18.7%
Danubio win and both teams score14.8%
Wanderers win and over 2.5 goals14.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Danubio or draw69.7%
Wanderers or draw60.2%
Either team wins70.0%
Draw no bet: Danubio56.8%
Draw no bet: Wanderers43.2%
Danubio win to nil24.9%
Wanderers win to nil18.7%
Team goals
Danubio to score70.0%
Wanderers to score63.7%
Danubio over 1.5 goals33.1%
Wanderers over 1.5 goals26.8%
Danubio clean sheet36.3%
Wanderers clean sheet30.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Danubio vs Wanderers
Head to Head

Head to Head

Danubio vs Wanderers: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 5, 2026Wanderers0 - 0Danubio
March 21, 2026Wanderers2 - 1Danubio
September 6, 2025Wanderers0 - 2Danubio
League Table

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12817564623+2355
22915774427+1752
328141043522+1352
4158342316+727
42715574731+1650
529144114338+546
62912893635+144
72811983727+1042
828108103033-338
92998123539-435
102997133738-134
112989122832-433
1229711112533-832
132995152343-2032
142986152840-1230
1529414112438-1426
162974182342-1925
Primera División - Apertura - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Peñarol Montevideo28175646232355
2Deportivo Maldonado29157744271752DLDWW
3Racing Montevideo281410435221352WLDDD
4Penarol158342316727WWDWL
4Atletico Torque27155747311650LWWLW
5Club Nacional29144114338546LDWLW
6Wanderers2912893635144WWWDW
7Liverpool Montevideo28119837271042DWLDW
8Central Espanol28108103033-338DLDDW
9Juventud2998123539-435DWLDL
10Albion FC2997133738-134DLDWL
11Cerro Largo2989122832-433LWDDW
12Defensor Sporting29711112533-832LDDDL
13Cerro2995152343-2032WWLLW
14Boston River2986152840-1230LLDDL
15Danubio29414112438-1426DLDDD
16Progreso2974182342-1925WLLWL