Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguaçu Prediction - September 2, 2026

Copa RioBrazilFull time
Sampaio Correa
2:1
Nova Iguaçu
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.40price rising, opened at 2.16
Draw2.76price falling, opened at 3.00
Away3.11price falling, opened at 3.44

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.41price rising, opened at 1.34
Under 1.52.52price falling, opened at 2.82
Over 2.52.36price rising, opened at 2.06
Under 2.51.51price falling, opened at 1.65
Over 3.54.30price rising, opened at 3.60
Under 3.51.15price falling, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes1.95price rising, opened at 1.87
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.89
Odd/Even
Odd1.92price rising, opened at 1.91
Even1.73price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.252.01price rising, opened at 1.76
Away +0.251.69price falling, opened at 1.91

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguaçu?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Sampaio Correa and Nova Iguaçu average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-113.3%Projected
  2. 1-113.1%Alternative
  3. 0-010.5%
  4. 1-010.3%
  5. 0-28.4%

Top five combined: 55.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSampaio CorreaxG0.99
AwayNova IguaçuxG1.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
10%
5.1%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
13%
13%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.4%
8.3%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
3.6%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.0%55.0% No
Over 1.5 65.8%34.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 39.2%60.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 19.1%80.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sampaio Correa win and over 2.5 goals13.4%
Sampaio Correa win and both teams score11.2%
Nova Iguaçu win and over 2.5 goals21.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sampaio Correa or draw57.1%
Nova Iguaçu or draw71.2%
Either team wins71.7%
Draw no bet: Sampaio Correa40.2%
Draw no bet: Nova Iguaçu59.8%
Sampaio Correa win to nil17.6%
Nova Iguaçu win to nil26.8%
Team goals
Sampaio Correa to score62.7%
Nova Iguaçu to score71.9%
Sampaio Correa over 1.5 goals25.9%
Nova Iguaçu over 1.5 goals36.2%
Sampaio Correa clean sheet28.1%
Nova Iguaçu clean sheet37.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguaçu
Head to Head

Head to Head

Nova Iguaçu
2 - 0
Sampaio Correa
August 26, 2026
Sampaio Correa vs Nova Iguaçu: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 26, 2026Nova Iguaçu2 - 0Sampaio Correa